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自发性脑出血后预后不良的危险因素。

Risk factors for impaired outcome after spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage.

作者信息

Juvela S

机构信息

Department of Neurosurgery, Helsinki University Central Hospital, Finland.

出版信息

Arch Neurol. 1995 Dec;52(12):1193-200. doi: 10.1001/archneur.1995.00540360071018.

Abstract

OBJECTIVE

To search out independent prognostic factors, including preictal variables for outcome of spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage.

DESIGN

Prospective follow-up study.

PATIENTS

One hundred fifty-six consecutive patients (96 men and 60 women) aged 16 to 60 years admitted as emergencies after bleeding.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Potential risk factors (baseline characteristics, health habits, and clinical variables) for death and impaired outcome were studied prospectively up to 1 year after hemorrhage.

RESULTS

One year after hemorrhage, 64 patients (41%) were independent and 34 patients (22%) were dependent in the activities of daily living; 58 patients (37%) had died. Risk of death was predicted, after adjustment for sex, age, hypertension, and body mass index, by clinical condition at admission according to the Glasgow Coma Scale (P < .001) and the occurrence of subcortical hematoma (odds ratio [OR], 0.18; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.04 to 0.91; P = .04). Risk of poor outcome (dependent state or death) was predicted, after adjustment for sex, hypertension, body mass index, cigarette smoking, presence of intraventricular hemorrhage, and surgery, significantly by the Glasgow Coma Scale (P < .001); presence of subcortical hematoma (OR, 0.04; 95% CI, 0.01 to 0.27; P < .001); volume of hematoma (P = .03); age (P = .004); amount of alcohol consumed within 1 week before hemorrhage (P = .03); and presence of cerebellar hematoma (OR, 0.13; 95% CI, 0.02 to 0.95; P = .04). Significant independent predictors of impaired outcome (assessed with the Glasgow Outcome Scale) were the Glasgow Coma Scale (P < .001); presence of subcortical hematoma (OR, 0.26; 95% CI, 0.10 to 0.67; P = .006); alcohol intake within 1 week (P = .002); and presence of cerebellar (OR, 0.16; 95% CI, 0.04 to 0.60; P = .008), intraventricular (OR, 2.74; 95% CI, 1.19 to 6.28; P = .02), or caudate hemorrhage (OR, 0.13; 95% CI, 0.02 to 0.77; P = .03). The mean erythrocyte corpuscular volume was directly associated with an impaired outcome (P < .05).

CONCLUSION

In addition to severity and location of the hemorrhage, the age of the patient and the amount of alcohol consumed within 1 week seem to be independent determinants of outcome after intracerebral hemorrhage.

摘要

目的

找出包括发作前变量在内的自发性脑出血预后的独立预测因素。

设计

前瞻性随访研究。

患者

156例连续的患者(96例男性和60例女性),年龄在16至60岁之间,出血后作为急诊入院。

主要观察指标

前瞻性研究出血后长达1年的死亡和预后不良的潜在危险因素(基线特征、健康习惯和临床变量)。

结果

出血1年后,64例患者(41%)日常生活能够自理,34例患者(22%)日常生活需要依赖他人;58例患者(37%)死亡。在对性别、年龄、高血压和体重指数进行校正后,根据格拉斯哥昏迷量表评估的入院时临床状况(P <.001)和皮质下血肿的发生情况(比值比[OR],0.18;95%置信区间[CI],0.04至0.91;P =.04)可预测死亡风险。在对性别、高血压、体重指数、吸烟、脑室内出血的存在情况和手术进行校正后,格拉斯哥昏迷量表(P <.001);皮质下血肿的存在情况(OR,0.04;95%CI,0.01至0.27;P <.001);血肿体积(P =.03);年龄(P =.004);出血前1周内的酒精摄入量(P =.03);以及小脑血肿的存在情况(OR,0.13;95%CI,0.02至0.95;P =.04)可显著预测不良预后(依赖状态或死亡)的风险。预后不良(根据格拉斯哥预后量表评估)的显著独立预测因素为格拉斯哥昏迷量表(P <.001);皮质下血肿的存在情况(OR,0.26;95%CI,0.10至0.67;P =.006);1周内的酒精摄入量(P =.002);以及小脑(OR,0.16;95%CI,0.04至0.60;P =.008)、脑室内(OR,2.74;95%CI,1.19至6.28;P =.02)或尾状核出血(OR,0.13;95%CI,0.02至0.77;P =.03)的存在情况。平均红细胞体积与预后不良直接相关(P <.05)。

结论

除了出血的严重程度和部位外,患者年龄和出血前1周内的酒精摄入量似乎是脑出血后预后的独立决定因素。

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