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1950 - 1990年全球机动车事故死亡率模式

Worldwide pattern of mortality from motor vehicle accidents, 1950-1990.

作者信息

La Vecchia C, Levi F, Lucchini F, Negri E

机构信息

Institut universitaire de médecine sociale et préventive, Lausanne.

出版信息

Soz Praventivmed. 1994;39(3):150-78. doi: 10.1007/BF01299659.

Abstract

Trends in age-specific and age-standardized death certification rates from motor vehicle accidents over the period 1950-1990 were analyzed for 48 countries from four continents (2 from North America, 10 from Latin America, 8 from Asia, 26 from Europe, Australia and New Zealand) on the basis of data produced by the World Health Organization mortality database. In most developed western and Asiatic countries, mortality rates increased until the late 1960's or early 1970's, and declined thereafter to reach values often lower than those of the early 1950's, although the number of circulating vehicles has substantially increased over the same calendar period. The extent of the decline was, however, different in various countries, as well as in the two sexes and in various age groups, thus leading to complex cohort and period patterns. In general, countries (like the U.S.A. or U.K.), where the number of motor vehicles had increased earlier, have now comparatively higher rates at younger than at middle and older age, while the opposite is observed in countries with later spread of motor vehicles. Further, there were a few countries, including Kuwait, Venezuela and several other Latin American countries, Australia and New Zealand, and several southern and eastern European countries, with exceedingly high rates from motor vehicle accidents, and where comprehensive interventions on this important cause of death are therefore a public health priority.

摘要

基于世界卫生组织死亡率数据库提供的数据,对来自四大洲的48个国家(2个来自北美洲,10个来自拉丁美洲,8个来自亚洲,26个来自欧洲、澳大利亚和新西兰)1950年至1990年期间特定年龄和年龄标准化的机动车事故死亡认证率趋势进行了分析。在大多数西方发达国家和亚洲国家,死亡率在20世纪60年代末或70年代初之前有所上升,此后下降,降至往往低于20世纪50年代初的水平,尽管在同一时期机动车数量大幅增加。然而,下降的程度在不同国家、不同性别和不同年龄组中有所不同,从而导致了复杂的队列和时期模式。一般来说,机动车数量较早增加的国家(如美国或英国),现在较年轻年龄段的死亡率相对高于中年和老年,而在机动车普及较晚的国家则观察到相反的情况。此外,有几个国家,包括科威特、委内瑞拉和其他几个拉丁美洲国家、澳大利亚和新西兰,以及几个南欧和东欧国家,机动车事故发生率极高,因此对这一重要死因进行全面干预是公共卫生的优先事项。

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