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关于约翰·斯诺传染病理论的新视角。

A new perspective on John Snow's communicable disease theory.

作者信息

Winkelstein W

机构信息

Division of Epidemiology and Population Biology, School of Public Health, University of California at Berkeley 94720-7360, USA.

出版信息

Am J Epidemiol. 1995 Nov 1;142(9 Suppl):S3-9. doi: 10.1093/aje/142.supplement_9.s3.

Abstract

When John Snow undertook the studies of the cholera epidemic of 1854 in London, he was testing his theory of communicable disease, which had been enunciated in an oration delivered at the 80th anniversary of the Medical Society of London. Snow had been elected orator of the year for 1853 and, according to his biographer, had spent the better part of a year in preparation. The oration was titled, "On Continuous Molecular Changes, More Particularly in Their Relation to Epidemic Diseases." Although the text of this oration is readily available in the 1936 Commonwealth Fund facsimile reprint of Snow's more famous cholera studies, few modern epidemiologists are familiar with the work. In it, Snow lays out a theory which includes recognition that for each communicable disease there is a distinct and specific cause, that the causal agent is a living organism which is stable over many generations of propagation, that infection is necessary for communication to occur, and that the quantity of infectious material transmitted is increased by multiplication after infection to produce disease manifestations. Although Snow's theory is similar to Jacob Henle's formulations of a decade earlier, it is more precise, more comprehensive, and more explicit. On the basis of this work alone, Snow deserves broader recognition than he has received.

摘要

1854年,约翰·斯诺对伦敦霍乱疫情展开研究时,他正在验证自己的传染病理论,该理论是他在伦敦医学协会成立80周年纪念会上发表的一篇演讲中阐述的。斯诺当选为1853年度演讲者,据其传记作者所述,他为此花了大半年时间准备。这篇演讲的题目是《论持续的分子变化,尤其是它们与流行病的关系》。尽管这篇演讲的文本在1936年英联邦基金会影印再版的斯诺更著名的霍乱研究中很容易找到,但现代很少有流行病学家熟悉这项工作。在演讲中,斯诺阐述了一种理论,该理论包括认识到每种传染病都有一个独特而具体的病因,致病因子是一种在多代传播中保持稳定的活生物体,感染是疾病传播的必要条件,并且感染后致病物质的数量会通过繁殖增加,从而产生疾病表现。尽管斯诺的理论与十年前雅各布·亨勒的表述相似,但它更精确、更全面、更明确。仅凭这项工作,斯诺就应得到比目前更广泛的认可。

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