Schutte K K, Moos R H, Brennan P L
Center for Health Care Evaluation (152), Veterans Affairs Medical Center, Palo Alto, California 94304, USA.
J Consult Clin Psychol. 1995 Oct;63(5):810-22. doi: 10.1037//0022-006x.63.5.810.
This 3-wave longitudinal study analyzed latent variable cross-lagged models of the relation between depressive symptoms and drinking behavior separately for 621 late-middle-aged women and 951 late-middle-aged men. Time lags of 1 and 3 years were used. Among women, heavier alcohol consumption predicted less depressive symptomatology 1 and 3 years later, whereas among men, having more depressive symptoms predicted less alcohol consumption later on. Including cross-temporal paths in the women's depression-drinking problems model did not provide a significant improvement over hypothesizing no cross-temporal effects. Among men, however, having more drinking problems was associated with fewer depressive symptoms 3 years later. These findings were robust in follow-up analyses controlling for the effects of socioeconomic and health status.
这项三波纵向研究分别对621名中老年女性和951名中老年男性的抑郁症状与饮酒行为之间的关系进行了潜在变量交叉滞后模型分析。采用了1年和3年的时间滞后。在女性中,饮酒量较大预示着1年和3年后抑郁症状会减轻,而在男性中,抑郁症状较多预示着随后饮酒量会减少。在女性的抑郁-饮酒问题模型中纳入跨期路径,相较于假设无跨期效应,并未带来显著改善。然而,在男性中,饮酒问题较多与3年后抑郁症状较少相关。在控制了社会经济和健康状况影响的后续分析中,这些发现依然稳健。