Lyon J L, Klauber M R, Gardner J W, Udall K S
N Engl J Med. 1979 Feb 22;300(8):397-402. doi: 10.1056/NEJM197902223000804.
Continuing concern over the possible carcinogenic effects of low-level radiation prompted us to study the population of Utah because of its exposure to fallout from 26 nuclear tests between 1951 and 1958. Certain rural counties (high-fallout counties) received most of the fallout during that period. We reviewed all deaths from childhood (under 15 years of age) cancers occurring in the entire state between 1944 and 1975 and assigned them to a cohort of either high or low exposure, depending on whether 15 between 1951 and 1958. For reasons unknown, leukemia mortality among the low-exposure cohort in the high-fallout counties was about half that of the United States and the remainder of the state. Mortality increased by 2.44 times (95 per cent confidence, 1.18 to 5.02) to just slightly above that of the United States in the high-exposure cohort residing in the high-fallout counties, and was greatest in 10- to 14-year-old children. For other childhood cancers, no consistent pattern was found in relation to fallout exposure. The increase in leukemia deaths could be due to fallout or to some other unexplained factor.
对低剂量辐射可能致癌影响的持续关注促使我们对犹他州人群展开研究,因为该州在1951年至1958年间遭受了26次核试验的放射性沉降物影响。某些农村县(高沉降物县)在那段时期接收了大部分沉降物。我们回顾了1944年至1975年间该州所有15岁以下儿童癌症死亡病例,并根据其在1951年至1958年间是否处于高沉降物区域,将他们归入高暴露或低暴露队列。出于未知原因,高沉降物县低暴露队列中的白血病死亡率约为美国及该州其他地区的一半。在高沉降物县的高暴露队列中,死亡率增加了2.44倍(95%置信区间为1.18至5.02),略高于美国平均水平,且在10至14岁儿童中最高。对于其他儿童癌症,未发现与沉降物暴露相关的一致模式。白血病死亡人数的增加可能是由于沉降物,也可能是由于其他一些无法解释的因素。