Lilienfeld A M
Environ Health Perspect. 1983 Oct;52:3-8. doi: 10.1289/ehp.83523.
Epidemiologic methods can be categorized into demographic studies of mortality and morbidity and observational studies that are either retrospective or prospective. Some of the limitations of demographic studies are illustrated by a review of one specific mortality study showing possible relationship of nuclear fallout to leukemia. Problems of accuracy of diagnosis or causes of death on death certificates, estimates of population, migration from areas of study, and the issue of "ecological fallacy" are discussed. Retrospective studies have such problems as recall of previous environmental exposure, selection bias and survivor bias. In environmental epidemiology, prospective studies have been used. The problems associated with these studies are illustrated by reviewing some of the details of the study of effects of microwave radiation on embassy employees in Moscow. The study population had to be reconstructed, individuals had to be located and information on exposure status had to be obtained by questionnaire. The relatively small size of the exposed group permitted the detection of only fairly large relative risks. Despite these limitations, epidemiologic studies have been remarkably productive in elucidating etiological factors. They are necessary since "the proper study of man is man."
流行病学方法可分为死亡率和发病率的人口统计学研究以及回顾性或前瞻性的观察性研究。一项关于核辐射沉降与白血病可能关系的特定死亡率研究的综述,说明了人口统计学研究的一些局限性。讨论了死亡证明上诊断准确性或死因、人口估计、从研究地区的迁移以及“生态学谬误”问题。回顾性研究存在诸如对既往环境暴露的回忆、选择偏倚和幸存者偏倚等问题。在环境流行病学中,已采用前瞻性研究。通过回顾莫斯科微波辐射对大使馆雇员影响研究的一些细节,说明了与这些研究相关的问题。必须重建研究人群,找到个体,并通过问卷调查获取暴露状况信息。暴露组规模相对较小,仅能检测到相当大的相对风险。尽管有这些局限性,但流行病学研究在阐明病因方面成果显著。由于“对人的恰当研究就是人本身”,所以这些研究是必要的。