Kendell R E, Brockington I F, Leff J P
Arch Gen Psychiatry. 1979 Jan;36(1):25-31. doi: 10.1001/archpsyc.1979.01780010031002.
The ability of six different operational definitions of schizophrenia to identify prospectively patients whose eventual prognosis would be poor was studied using data from a six-year follow-up of a series of 134 patients with functional psychoses. All six definitions were more successful at predicting a poor symptomatic outcome than a poor social outcome. Spitzer's Research Diagnostic Criteria, Carpenter's flexible criteria, and Langfeldt's criteria predicted a poor outcome as well as the original clinical diagnoses and were considerably better than the New Haven criteria, Schneider's first rank symptoms, or the computer program Catego.
利用对134例功能性精神病患者进行的为期六年随访的数据,研究了六种不同的精神分裂症操作性定义对前瞻性识别最终预后不良患者的能力。所有六种定义在预测症状性不良结局方面比预测社会不良结局更成功。斯皮策的研究诊断标准、卡彭特的灵活标准和朗费尔特的标准在预测不良结局方面与最初的临床诊断效果相当,并且明显优于纽黑文标准、施耐德的一级症状或计算机程序Catego。