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DNA证据:错误答案还是错误问题?

DNA evidence: wrong answers or wrong questions?

作者信息

Robertson B, Vignaux G A

机构信息

Department of Business Law, Massey University, Palmerston North, New Zealand.

出版信息

Genetica. 1995;96(1-2):145-52. doi: 10.1007/BF01441160.

DOI:10.1007/BF01441160
PMID:7607452
Abstract

Much of the controversy over DNA evidence is due to the way in which forensic scientific evidence has classically been presented. The orthodox approach is to consider whether two samples match according to a predetermined criterion. If they do, the fact of match is reported along with an estimate of the frequency of the characteristics. This method fails to address the questions raised in court cases, diverts argument into irrelevancies and stultifies research. Presentation of evidence in the form of likelihood ratios, on the other hand, forces the witness to answer the questions the court is interested in and makes apparent lines of research required to increase our understanding.

摘要

关于DNA证据的许多争议源于法医科学证据的传统呈现方式。正统方法是根据预先确定的标准来考虑两个样本是否匹配。如果匹配,就会报告匹配事实以及特征频率的估计值。这种方法未能解决法庭案件中提出的问题,将争论引向无关紧要的方面,并阻碍了研究。另一方面,以似然比的形式呈现证据,迫使证人回答法庭感兴趣的问题,并明确了为增进我们的理解所需的研究方向。

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本文引用的文献

1
DNA profile match probability calculation: how to allow for population stratification, relatedness, database selection and single bands.DNA图谱匹配概率计算:如何考虑群体分层、亲缘关系、数据库选择和单一条带。
Forensic Sci Int. 1994 Feb;64(2-3):125-40. doi: 10.1016/0379-0738(94)90222-4.
2
An illustration of the advantages of efficient statistical methods for RFLP analysis in forensic science.法医科学中用于RFLP分析的高效统计方法的优势说明。
Am J Hum Genet. 1993 Mar;52(3):498-505.
3
Glass and paint fragments found in men's outer clothing--report of a survey.
男性外衣上发现的玻璃和油漆碎片——一项调查的报告。
J Forensic Sci. 1971 Jul;16(3):283-99.
4
A guide to interpreting single locus profiles of DNA mixtures in forensic cases.法医案件中DNA混合物单基因座图谱解读指南。
J Forensic Sci Soc. 1991 Jan-Mar;31(1):41-7. doi: 10.1016/s0015-7368(91)73116-2.