McDonnell W F, Stewart P W, Andreoni S, Smith M V
Clinical Research Branch, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Research Triangle Park, NC 27711, USA.
Am J Respir Crit Care Med. 1995 Aug;152(2):589-96. doi: 10.1164/ajrccm.152.2.7633712.
The purpose of this study was to describe the proportion of moderately exercising individuals experiencing significant respiratory responses to low-level, multi-hour ozone exposure as a function of ozone concentration and exposure duration. Sixty-eight healthy, nonsmoking adults, ages 18 to 34 yr, underwent two or more 6.6-h exposures to 0.0, 0.08, 0.10, or 0.12 ppm ozone. Five hours of exercise was performed during exposure, and lung function was measured before exposure and following each hour of exposure. For each combination of concentration and duration, each individual was determined to either have or not have experienced a 10% or greater decrement in FEV1. A logistic function was used to model the proportion of individuals experiencing such a decrement as a function of concentration and exposure duration. Bootstrap 90% confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated around the predictions. The model was found to give predictions that were in good agreement with observed data. The lowest level of exposure (C x T) for which the 90% CI excluded zero was approximately 0.2 ppm-h. For exposure to 0.12 ppm ozone for 6.6 h, 47% (90% CI = 30 to 65%) of exposed individuals were predicted to experience a 10% decrement in FEV1. A greater proportion of younger adults than of older adults were found to experience a given effect for a given exposure.
本研究的目的是描述适度运动的个体在低水平、持续数小时的臭氧暴露下出现显著呼吸反应的比例,该比例是臭氧浓度和暴露持续时间的函数。68名年龄在18至34岁之间的健康非吸烟成年人接受了两次或更多次6.6小时的臭氧暴露,臭氧浓度分别为0.0、0.08、0.10或0.12 ppm。暴露期间进行5小时的运动,并在暴露前和每暴露1小时后测量肺功能。对于浓度和持续时间的每种组合,确定每个个体的第一秒用力呼气容积(FEV1)是否下降了10%或更多。使用逻辑函数来模拟出现这种下降的个体比例与浓度和暴露持续时间的函数关系。围绕预测值计算了自抽样90%置信区间(CI)。发现该模型给出的预测结果与观测数据高度吻合。90%CI不包括零的最低暴露水平(C×T)约为0.2 ppm·小时。对于暴露于0.12 ppm臭氧6.6小时的情况,预计47%(90%CI = 30%至65%)的暴露个体的FEV1会下降10%。结果发现,在给定暴露条件下,年轻成年人中出现特定效应的比例高于年长成年人。