Reid M C, Lachs M S, Feinstein A R
Robert Wood Johnson Clinical Scholars Program, Yale University School of Medicine, New Haven, CT 06520-8025, USA.
JAMA. 1995;274(8):645-51.
To determine the frequency and temporal changes in application of seven accepted methodological standards for the evaluation of diagnostic tests.
A search of the MEDLINE database yielded 1302 articles about diagnostic test studies, during a 16-year secular interval, 1978 through 1993, in four prominent general medical journals.
In the 112 eligible studies, the test was intended for clinical use, indexes of accuracy (sensitivity and specificity or likelihood ratios) were provided, and more than 10 patients were enrolled.
Although each study was critically reviewed by one primary observer, a subset was independently evaluated for interrater consistency.
The percentage of studies that fulfilled criteria for each of the seven methodological standards are as follows: (1) specify spectrum of evaluated patients, 27%; (2) report test indexes for clinical subgroups, 8%; (3) avoid workup bias, 46%; (4) avoid review bias, 38%; (5) provide numerical precision for test indexes, 11%; (6) report frequency and management of indeterminate results when calculating test indexes, 22%; and (7) specify test reproducibility, 23%. Secular increases were found for six of the seven standards in ranges of use from 14% to 31% during 1978-1981 to 1990-1993. Nevertheless, only one standard, avoidance of workup bias, was fulfilled by more than 50% of studies in the most recent secular interval.
These results indicate that most diagnostic tests are still inadequately appraised. The routine demand for methodological standards could raise the quality of diagnostic test information, and the careful predissemination evaluation of diagnostic tests could eliminate useless tests before they receive widespread application.
确定用于评估诊断试验的七种公认方法标准的应用频率及时间变化。
检索MEDLINE数据库,在1978年至1993年这16年期间,从四种著名的综合医学期刊中获取了1302篇关于诊断试验研究的文章。
在112项符合条件的研究中,该试验旨在用于临床,提供了准确性指标(敏感性和特异性或似然比),且纳入患者超过10例。
尽管每项研究均由一名主要观察者进行严格审查,但对一个子集进行了独立评估以检验评分者间的一致性。
符合七种方法标准中每项标准的研究百分比如下:(1)明确评估患者的范围,27%;(2)报告临床亚组的试验指标,8%;(3)避免检查偏倚,46%;(4)避免审查偏倚,38%;(5)提供试验指标的数值精度,11%;(6)在计算试验指标时报告不确定结果的频率及处理方式,22%;(7)明确试验的可重复性,23%。在1978 - 1981年至1990 - 1993年期间,七种标准中的六种在使用范围上有14%至31%的长期增长。然而,在最近的时间段内,只有一项标准(避免检查偏倚)在超过50%的研究中得到满足。
这些结果表明,大多数诊断试验仍未得到充分评估。对方法标准的常规要求可提高诊断试验信息的质量,对诊断试验进行仔细的预传播评估可在无用试验广泛应用之前将其淘汰。