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一种整合概率推理和分类推理的精神科诊断系统。

A psychiatric diagnostic system integrating probabilistic and categorical reasoning.

作者信息

do Amaral M B, Satomura Y, Honda M, Sato T

机构信息

Division of Medical Informatics, Chiba University Hospital, Japan.

出版信息

Methods Inf Med. 1995 Jun;34(3):232-43.

PMID:7666801
Abstract

We describe a diagnostic support system for clinical psychiatry and its evaluation results. The system has two inter-related components: a rule-based reasoning part associated with uncertainty, and a deterministic part, that uses heuristics to perform categorical reasoning. The system includes the 30 groups of psychiatric diagnoses which are classified under the categories 290 to 319 of the DSM-III-R and the ICD-9. There are, in fact, 1508 rules relating 208 clinical findings with 257 diagnoses. The reasoning strategy is based on selecting and differentiating diagnostic categories in a hierarchical classification tree. The system is intended to be used for education of medical students, and to help non-specialist clinicians, residents in psychiatry, or experts with few years of experience in decision making. We tested the diagnostic performance of the system using case reports extracted from a specialized journal. In 52.8% of the cases, the correct diagnosis was ranked as the first hypothesis using only the rule-based part. In combination with the deterministic strategy, the correct diagnosis could be made for 73.6% of the analyzed cases.

摘要

我们描述了一种用于临床精神病学的诊断支持系统及其评估结果。该系统有两个相互关联的部分:一个与不确定性相关的基于规则的推理部分,以及一个使用启发式方法进行分类推理的确定性部分。该系统包括根据《精神疾病诊断与统计手册》第三版修订版(DSM-III-R)和《国际疾病分类》第九版(ICD-9)的290至319类别分类的30组精神疾病诊断。实际上,有1508条规则将208项临床发现与257种诊断相关联。推理策略基于在分层分类树中选择和区分诊断类别。该系统旨在用于医学生的教育,并帮助非专科临床医生、精神病学住院医生或经验较少的专家进行决策。我们使用从专业期刊中提取的病例报告测试了该系统的诊断性能。在52.8%的病例中,仅使用基于规则的部分时,正确诊断被列为首要假设。结合确定性策略,对于73.6%的分析病例可以做出正确诊断。

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A psychiatric diagnostic system integrating probabilistic and categorical reasoning.一种整合概率推理和分类推理的精神科诊断系统。
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