Ohayon M M
Centre de recherche, Institut Philippe Pinel de Montréal, Québec.
Can J Psychiatry. 1993 Apr;38(3):203-11. doi: 10.1177/070674379303800309.
Are expert systems liable to be used as consultants in psychiatry? Most expert systems deal with an over-restricted part of psychiatry and cannot be a real help in everyday care. Moreover, most of them are not actually validated (the comparison between the system's and the expert's conclusions in a few cases is not enough). Another problem is that they reflect the uncertainties of nosographic problems. Validation of such systems needs the careful checking of the logical structure of the underlying nosography, the fitness of the structure's knowledge base and the fitness of the inference engine. Moreover, the naïve use of the system by untrained clinicians is the best means of validation since it provides real life proof of the ability of expert systems to make diagnoses in unselected cases where the need for a common diagnostic reference is clear (for example, epidemiologic, psychopharmacological ornosographic research). Some of the best known expert systems in the field of psychiatry are reviewed and another expert system, Adinfer, is presented. Developed since 1982, Adinfer is a forward-tracking level O system (in its simplified version for micro-computers). The knowledge base is a translation of the DSM-III-R into production rules. The program has been included in several software packages and used in many clinical studies, both among psychiatrists and physicians. The program has been validated with 1,141 unselected cases, and with 47 physicians: an 83% agreement rate was found between the system's and the physician's diagnoses, taking into account that the clinicians were asked to give their conclusions according to their usual nosography.(ABSTRACT TRUNCATED AT 250 WORDS)
专家系统有可能被用作精神病学的咨询工具吗?大多数专家系统处理的是精神病学中过度受限的部分,在日常护理中无法提供真正的帮助。此外,它们中的大多数实际上并未经过验证(仅在少数案例中比较系统和专家的结论是不够的)。另一个问题是,它们反映了疾病分类问题的不确定性。此类系统的验证需要仔细检查基础疾病分类法的逻辑结构、结构知识库的适用性以及推理引擎的适用性。此外,未经培训的临床医生对系统的盲目使用是验证的最佳方式,因为它能提供现实生活中的证据,证明专家系统在未选案例中进行诊断的能力,而在这些案例中,对通用诊断参考的需求很明确(例如,流行病学、精神药理学或疾病分类学研究)。本文回顾了精神病学领域一些最知名的专家系统,并介绍了另一个专家系统Adinfer。Adinfer自1982年开始开发,是一个前向跟踪的O级系统(其简化版用于微型计算机)。知识库是将《精神疾病诊断与统计手册第三版修订版》(DSM - III - R)翻译成的产生式规则。该程序已被纳入多个软件包,并在许多临床研究中得到应用,包括精神病医生和内科医生的研究。该程序已通过对1141例未选案例和47名医生进行验证:考虑到临床医生被要求根据他们常用的疾病分类法给出结论,系统与医生诊断之间的一致率为83%。(摘要截取自250字)