Chung S J
Department of Pathology, Morristown-Hamblen Hospital, TN 37814, USA.
Int J Biomed Comput. 1995 May;39(2):209-17. doi: 10.1016/0020-7101(94)01068-c.
The National Center for Health Statistics (Monthly Vital Statistics Report, 41 (1993) 1-36; Pediatrics, 92 (1993) 743-754) reported the life table for the total population of the United States, 1992, on the basis of vital statistics. The life table shows life expectancy, survival and death rate at various ages. Formulas expressing death rate, survival probability and life expectancy at various ages in US adults are constructed from the data of the National Center for Health Statistics (NCHS). A mathematical model of the 'probacent'-probability equation previously published by the author is employed in this study. Analysis of the computer-assisted predicted values and the data reported by the NCHS indicates that the formulas are accurate and reliable with a close agreement in expressing death rate, survival probability and life expectancy at various ages in US adults of 25 years of age and older. The formulas can determine the relationship between the age and the death rate, the survival probability or the life expectancy and may be of value for epidemiologic evaluation of US adults.
国家卫生统计中心（《每月生命统计报告》，41(1993) 1 - 36；《儿科学》，92(1993) 743 - 754）根据生命统计数据报告了1992年美国总人口的生命表。该生命表显示了不同年龄段的预期寿命、生存率和死亡率。根据国家卫生统计中心（NCHS）的数据构建了表示美国成年人不同年龄段死亡率、生存概率和预期寿命的公式。本研究采用了作者先前发表的“概率中心”概率方程的数学模型。对计算机辅助预测值和NCHS报告的数据进行分析表明，这些公式准确可靠，在表达25岁及以上美国成年人不同年龄段的死亡率、生存概率和预期寿命方面具有高度一致性。这些公式可以确定年龄与死亡率、生存概率或预期寿命之间的关系，可能对美国成年人的流行病学评估有价值。
