Finkelstein M M
Health and Safety Studies Unit, Ontario Ministry of Labour, Toronto, Canada.
Occup Environ Med. 1995 Mar;52(3):145-9. doi: 10.1136/oem.52.3.145.
To explore the impression that occupational epidemiologists tend to focus on associations suggestive of increased risk and tend to ignore those associations in which risk is not increased. To examine the risk of colorectal cancer in cohorts exposed to dust, cohorts in which it has been suggested that occupational exposure is a cause of increased risk of stomach cancer.
A review of the publications in the English language on mortality among hard rock miners, granite, and quarry workers identified from a MEDLINE search and the index of the library of the Ontario Ministry of Labour.
When all of the studies were combined, there were significant excesses of lung and stomach cancers, but a significant deficit of colorectal cancer (standardised mortality ratio (SMR) = 83.9; 95% confidence interval (95% CI) 76-91). Overall mortality from gastrointestinal cancer was close to expectation (SMR = 105; 95% CI 99-111). Among those cohorts with increased risk of stomach cancer, rates of colorectal cancer were significantly decreased (SMR = 80; 95% CI 72-88). Among cohorts without increased risk of stomach cancer, the SMR for colorectal cancer was not significantly different from 100 (SMR = 98; 95% CI 81-115).
This review supports the impression that occupational epidemiologists tend to focus on associations suggestive of increased risk and tend to ignore those associations in which risk is not increased. The explanation for the inverse association between risk of stomach and colorectal cancer is uncertain and deserves further study.
探讨职业流行病学家倾向于关注提示风险增加的关联,而往往忽视风险未增加的那些关联这一现象。研究接触粉尘队列中患结直肠癌的风险,在这些队列中有人提出职业暴露是胃癌风险增加的一个原因。
对通过医学文献数据库检索以及安大略省劳动部图书馆索引确定的关于硬岩矿工、花岗岩和采石场工人死亡率的英文出版物进行综述。
当所有研究合并后,肺癌和胃癌有显著超额,但结直肠癌有显著不足(标准化死亡比(SMR)=83.9;95%置信区间(95%CI)76 - 91)。胃肠道癌的总体死亡率接近预期(SMR = 105;95%CI 99 - 111)。在胃癌风险增加的那些队列中,结直肠癌发病率显著降低(SMR = 80;95%CI 72 - 88)。在胃癌风险未增加的队列中,结直肠癌的SMR与100无显著差异(SMR = 98;95%CI 81 - 115)。
本综述支持职业流行病学家倾向于关注提示风险增加的关联,而往往忽视风险未增加的那些关联这一观点。胃癌和结直肠癌风险之间负相关的解释尚不确定,值得进一步研究。