Hyatt R R, Rhodes W
Abt Associates, Inc., Cambridge, Massachusetts, USA.
Stat Med. 1995;14(5-7):655-68. doi: 10.1002/sim.4780140522.
This paper examines the relationship of the price and purity of cocaine to emergency room visits and deaths associated with cocaine use and to cocaine use among arrestees. A model is developed for the trend in cocaine prices at the retail level during the period January 1986 to December 1991. This trend is then compared to information on emergency room visits, medical examiner reports, and the percentage of arrestees testing positive for cocaine use over the same period. The principal conclusion is that there is a significant negative relationship between the estimated street price of cocaine and the level of related medical emergencies and deaths and the number of arrestees who test positive for cocaine.
本文研究了可卡因的价格与纯度同因使用可卡因导致的急诊室就诊、死亡以及被捕者中可卡因使用情况之间的关系。构建了一个模型，用于分析1986年1月至1991年12月期间零售层面可卡因价格的走势。随后，将这一走势与同期急诊室就诊信息、法医报告以及可卡因检测呈阳性的被捕者比例进行比较。主要结论是，可卡因的估计街头价格与相关医疗紧急情况及死亡的发生率以及可卡因检测呈阳性的被捕者数量之间存在显著的负相关关系。
