Gray D T, Walker A M, Fyler D C, Chalmers T C
Department of Health Sciences Research, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, MN 55905.
Circulation. 1994 Nov;90(5 Pt 2):II36-42.
Results of transcatheter implantation of the Rashkind double umbrella occluder for treatment of patent ductus arteriosus (PDA) have improved over time. We evaluated factors associated with changes in outcomes seen in the early clinical experience with this device.
We reviewed records of otherwise healthy pediatric patients undergoing occluder implantation for isolated PDA between 1982 and 1987 at six major US and Canadian referral centers. Logistic regression was used to assess the impact of ductal size, patient age and weight, calendar time, prior intrainstitutional occluder experience, and residual center effects on closure rates. There were no study deaths. Of 180 occluder placement attempts, 76.7% (95% confidence limits = 70.5%, 83.0%) produced PDA closure by auscultation at 14-month cardiology follow-up or its equivalent. Success probabilities increased in a linear fashion as ductus size decreased, ranging from 41.7% for large (4.1 to 9.0-mm) ducts to 89.4% for small (1.5 to 2.5-mm) lesions. PDA occluder closure rates also improved over time, increasing from 47.4% in 1982-1983 to 84.6% in 1986 and 83.1% in 1987. Multivariate logistic regression indicated that improved outcomes were mainly attributable to decrease in the size of treated ducts over time. Independent of this patient selection, improvements in outcome were less strongly associated with cumulative intracenter experience, calendar time, and age.
Increasing closure rates seen over time primarily reflected more judicious selection of patients as experience accumulated. However, other factors also contributed to the observed trends. An analysis of current treatment results would be of considerable interest.
随着时间的推移,经导管植入拉什金德双伞封堵器治疗动脉导管未闭(PDA)的结果有所改善。我们评估了在该装置早期临床经验中观察到的结果变化相关因素。
我们回顾了1982年至1987年期间在美国和加拿大六个主要转诊中心接受孤立性PDA封堵器植入的健康儿科患者的记录。采用逻辑回归评估导管大小、患者年龄和体重、日历时间、机构内先前封堵器植入经验以及中心残余效应对封堵率的影响。无研究死亡病例。在180次封堵器植入尝试中,76.7%(95%置信区间=70.5%,83.0%)在14个月的心脏病学随访或同等时间通过听诊实现了PDA封堵。随着导管尺寸减小,成功概率呈线性增加,大导管(4.1至9.0毫米)的成功率为41.7%,小病变(1.5至2.5毫米)的成功率为89.4%。PDA封堵器封堵率也随时间提高,从1982 - 1983年的47.4%增至1986年的84.6%和1987年的83.1%。多变量逻辑回归表明,结果改善主要归因于随时间推移治疗导管尺寸减小。除了这种患者选择因素外,结果改善与中心内累积经验、日历时间和年龄的关联较弱。
随着时间推移封堵率增加主要反映了随着经验积累对患者选择更加明智。然而,其他因素也促成了观察到的趋势。对当前治疗结果进行分析将非常有意义。