Friedman G D, Herrinton L J
Division of Research, Kaiser Permanente Medical Care Program, Northern California Region, Oakland.
Cancer Causes Control. 1994 Sep;5(5):479-83. doi: 10.1007/BF01694762.
An exploratory study was conducted of common clinical conditions as predictors of subsequent cancer in 143,574 outpatients of a health maintenance organization (in California, USA). An association was noted between obesity, diagnosed in 14,388 patients, and the subsequent development of multiple myeloma (MM) in up to 21 years (33 cases observed, 21.3 expected based on the experience of the entire cohort; standardized morbidity ratio = 1.55, 95 percent confidence interval [CI] = 1.06-2.17). This association was evaluated further in a second cohort of 163,561 multiphasic-checkup examinees followed up for as many as 24 years. Body mass index (BMI) at entry examination was associated positively with the incidence of MM in White men (e.g., relative risk [RR] = 1.07, CI = 1.01-1.15 per unit increase in BMI; and RR = 1.68, CI = 0.75-3.78, comparing the highest with lowest quartile). This association was absent in White women, partially confirmed in Black men and women (BMI quartiles two, three, and four showed higher risk than quartile one), and not explained by the presence of diabetes mellitus. The association was reduced or absent with BMI based on reported greatest adult-weight, and in White women was inverse with BMI based on reported lowest adult-weight. Among subjects with more than one checkup, increased risk was associated directly with weight loss among White men and associated inversely with weight gain among Black women. These findings suggest that body build or nutritional status may be involved in the development of MM by mechanisms that are presently unknown.(ABSTRACT TRUNCATED AT 250 WORDS)
对美国加利福尼亚州一家健康维护组织的143574名门诊患者进行了一项探索性研究,以确定常见临床病症作为后续癌症的预测因素。在14388名被诊断为肥胖的患者中,发现肥胖与长达21年内多发性骨髓瘤(MM)的后续发生之间存在关联(观察到33例,根据整个队列的经验预期为21.3例;标准化发病比=1.55,95%置信区间[CI]=1.06-2.17)。在另一组163561名接受多阶段体检的受试者中进行了长达24年的随访,对这种关联进行了进一步评估。入组检查时的体重指数(BMI)与白人男性MM的发病率呈正相关(例如,相对风险[RR]=1.07,CI=1.01-1.15,BMI每增加一个单位;最高四分位数与最低四分位数相比,RR=1.68,CI=0.75-3.78)。白人女性中不存在这种关联,在黑人男性和女性中部分得到证实(BMI四分位数二、三、四显示出比四分位数一更高的风险),并且不受糖尿病存在的影响。基于报告的最大成年体重计算的BMI,这种关联减弱或不存在,而在白人女性中,基于报告的最低成年体重计算的BMI与之呈负相关。在接受不止一次检查的受试者中,白人男性风险增加与体重减轻直接相关,黑人女性则与体重增加呈负相关。这些发现表明,体型或营养状况可能通过目前未知的机制参与MM的发生发展。(摘要截短于250字)