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模拟个体奶牛场健康状况的动态变化与经济情况:兽医在实际工作和研究中的未来任务

Modelling the dynamics and economics of health in individual dairy herds: future tasks for the veterinarian in practice and in research.

作者信息

Enevoldsen C, Sørensen J T

机构信息

National Institute of Animal Science, Tjele, Denmark.

出版信息

Vet Res. 1994;25(2-3):173-8.

PMID:8038780
Abstract

Collaboration with practicing veterinarians was established in a research project and has resulted in several epidemiologic tools to assist them in their work. Simultaneously, the research group obtained continuous access to valid and precise data and obtained first-hand knowledge about real-life problems for the dairy farmer and the practicing veterinarian. The veterinarian was able to supply detailed information concerning managerial routines applied on the farm. Epidemiologic analyses of the collected data produced input for herd-specific modelling of herd dynamic and economic effects of relevant production alternatives by means of a dynamic, stochastic, and mechanistic simulation model. The relevance of this approach as a research methodology is discussed.

摘要

在一个研究项目中与执业兽医建立了合作关系,并由此产生了几种流行病学工具来协助他们开展工作。同时,该研究小组能够持续获取有效且精确的数据,并获得了关于奶农和执业兽医实际问题的第一手知识。兽医能够提供有关农场管理常规的详细信息。通过一个动态、随机和机械的模拟模型,对收集到的数据进行流行病学分析,为特定畜群的畜群动态建模以及相关生产替代方案的经济影响提供了输入。讨论了这种方法作为一种研究方法的相关性。

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