van der Schouw Y T, van der Velden M T, Hitge-Boetes C, Verbeek A L, Ruijs S H
Department of Medical Informatics and Epidemiology, University of Nijmegen, The Netherlands.
AJR Am J Roentgenol. 1994 Oct;163(4):905-9. doi: 10.2214/ajr.163.4.8092033.
This study aimed to determine the value of sonography in the diagnosis of hypertrophic pyloric stenosis in patients with no palpable olive-shaped mass.
One hundred and five children with projectile vomiting but no palpable mass had sonography because of possible hypertrophic pyloric stenosis. The patients' history, signs and symptoms, and results of laboratory tests were incorporated into the statistical analysis. Using medical history, signs and symptoms, and laboratory results in one case and history, signs and symptoms, laboratory results, and pyloric measurements based on sonographic findings in another case, we composed the best predicting logistic regression models.
The ability to predict hypertrophic pyloric stenosis is greatly increased by adding information obtained from sonography. At 91% specificity of the final model, only 5% of the patients with no evidence of the abnormality actually had hypertrophic pyloric stenosis. The positive predictive value is thus 94%, and the negative predictive value is 95%.
The results justify the use of sonography as the diagnostic procedure of choice for infants suspected of having hypertrophic pyloric stenosis.
本研究旨在确定超声检查在诊断无可触及橄榄样肿块的肥厚性幽门狭窄患者中的价值。
105例因可能患有肥厚性幽门狭窄而出现喷射性呕吐但无可触及肿块的儿童接受了超声检查。将患者的病史、体征和症状以及实验室检查结果纳入统计分析。在一个病例中使用病史、体征和症状以及实验室结果,在另一个病例中使用病史、体征和症状、实验室结果以及基于超声检查结果的幽门测量值,我们构建了最佳预测逻辑回归模型。
通过添加从超声检查获得的信息,预测肥厚性幽门狭窄的能力大大提高。在最终模型特异性为91%的情况下,实际上无异常证据的患者中只有5%患有肥厚性幽门狭窄。因此,阳性预测值为94%,阴性预测值为95%。
结果证明超声检查可作为怀疑患有肥厚性幽门狭窄婴儿的首选诊断方法。