Khan I H, Catto G R, Edward N, Fleming L W, Henderson I S, MacLeod A M
Department of Medicine and Therapeutics, University of Aberdeen, UK.
Lancet. 1993 Feb 13;341(8842):415-8. doi: 10.1016/0140-6736(93)93003-j.
Survival of patients on renal-replacement therapy (RRT) is no longer improving. Increasingly, such patients are older and have co-morbid conditions affecting organs other than the kidney. In a retrospective study, we calculated actuarial survival of 375 patients starting RRT during a 6 1/2 year period at renal units in Aberdeen and Dundee, UK, after stratification of patients into three risk groups (low, medium, and high) based predominantly on co-morbidity and to a lesser extent on age. 2-year survival differed significantly between low, medium, and high risk groups both before (86%, 60%, and 35%, respectively; p < 0.002 for all comparisons) and after (90%, 70%, 46%; p < 0.004 for all comparisons) excluding early deaths (within 90 days of starting RRT). Overall survival was 61% in Aberdeen and 68% in Dundee (p = 0.04), but 73% and 74%, respectively, when deaths in the first 90 days were excluded (p = 0.73). We conclude that RRT is a highly successful treatment (86% 2-year survival) for patients aged under 70 with no co-morbid conditions (low-risk group); that coexisting non-renal disease has an important influence on survival of patients on RRT; and that risk stratification and analysis of data including and excluding early deaths should allow more valid comparison of data from different centres.
接受肾脏替代治疗(RRT)的患者生存率不再提高。这类患者的年龄越来越大,且伴有影响肾脏以外器官的合并症。在一项回顾性研究中,我们将英国阿伯丁和邓迪肾脏科的375例开始接受RRT治疗的患者,主要根据合并症并在较小程度上根据年龄分为三个风险组(低、中、高),计算了其精算生存率。在排除早期死亡(开始RRT后90天内)之前(分别为86%、60%和35%;所有比较p<0.002)和之后(90%、70%、46%;所有比较p<0.004),低、中、高风险组的2年生存率存在显著差异。阿伯丁的总体生存率为61%,邓迪为68%(p = 0.04),但排除前90天的死亡后,分别为73%和74%(p = 0.73)。我们得出结论,RRT对于无合并症的70岁以下患者(低风险组)是一种非常成功的治疗方法(2年生存率为86%);并存的非肾脏疾病对接受RRT治疗的患者生存率有重要影响;风险分层以及对包括和排除早期死亡的数据进行分析,应能使不同中心的数据进行更有效的比较。