[在雪崩中死亡的概率]
[Probability of dying in an avalanche].
作者信息
Buser O, Etter H J, Jaccard C
机构信息
Eidgenössisches Institut für Schnee- und Lawinenforschung, Davos Dorf.
出版信息
Z Unfallchir Versicherungsmed. 1993;Suppl 1:263-71.
Of 1,036 people caught in an avalanche and completely buried the burial time and whether they were recovered dead or alive is recorded. The data are used to calculate the likelihood to die in the avalanche as a function of the burial time, using Turnbull's non-parametric method. The result is compared with Brugger's et al for 332 cases. Furthermore the influence on the likelihood of mortality is investigated using further indications to reduce the time interval during which the victim has died.
在1036名遭遇雪崩并被完全掩埋的人中，记录了他们的被掩埋时间以及最终被找到时是死亡还是存活。利用特恩布尔非参数方法，这些数据被用于计算雪崩中死亡可能性与被掩埋时间的函数关系。将该结果与布鲁格等人对332例病例的研究结果进行比较。此外，还使用其他指标来缩短受害者死亡的时间间隔，以此研究其对死亡可能性的影响。
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