Shemesh A A, Horowitz R, Levinson D, Popper M
Department of Planning and Evaluation, Ministry of Health, Jerusalem.
Isr J Psychiatry Relat Sci. 1993;30(4):213-22.
In the years 1970-1990 approximately half a million immigrants from the former USSR arrived in Israel. Experts predict that new waves of immigration are likely to happen. This paper presents an attempt to forecast the need for appropriate psychiatric services in future waves of immigration. The study compares hospitalization patterns of immigrants arriving in Israel between 1972-1980 with those arriving in 1990. The rates of admission were compared to the rates for Israelis in the specified periods and an estimate for the future need for psychiatric services was calculated. The central finding in this study was that former Soviet immigrants were admitted to psychiatric hospitals within the first year of their arrival at a higher rate than Israelis in the 1970s and in 1990. In the 1970s the admission rate for immigrants was 33 per 10,000, while the rate for Israelis was 20 per 10,000. In 1990 the admission rate for immigrants was 31 per 10,000, while the rate for Israelis was 20 per 10,000. The forecast for the next years is for 320 first admissions within a year after arrival for every 100,000 immigrants. Planning for new waves of immigrations from the former USSR should therefore include a serious consideration of the provision of appropriate psychiatric services.
在1970年至1990年期间，约有50万来自前苏联的移民抵达以色列。专家预测，新的移民潮可能会出现。本文试图预测未来移民潮中对适当精神科服务的需求。该研究将1972年至1980年抵达以色列的移民的住院模式与1990年抵达的移民的住院模式进行了比较。将入院率与特定时期以色列人的入院率进行比较，并计算了未来对精神科服务的需求估计。该研究的主要发现是，前苏联移民在抵达后的第一年内被送入精神病院的比率高于20世纪70年代和1990年的以色列人。在20世纪70年代，移民的入院率为每10000人中有33人，而以色列人的入院率为每10000人中有20人。1990年，移民的入院率为每10000人中有31人，而以色列人的入院率为每10000人中有20人。对未来几年的预测是，每10万名移民在抵达后的一年内将有320例首次入院。因此，针对来自前苏联的新一波移民潮进行规划时，应认真考虑提供适当的精神科服务。
