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乙型肝炎疫苗接种是否有效?对世界文献的综述。

Is vaccination against hepatitis B efficient? A review of world literature.

作者信息

Jefferson T, Demicheli V

机构信息

Department of Medical Statistics, University of Pavia, Italy.

出版信息

Health Econ. 1994 Jan-Feb;3(1):25-37. doi: 10.1002/hec.4730030105.

Abstract

We report on the result of a study aimed at assessing the variability of assumptions upon which economic models for the introduction of vaccination against Hepatitis B are based, the conclusions reached and define a minimum set of methodological standards upon which future economic studies on vaccines should be based. We identified 116 published and unpublished works by Medline literature searches, consulting private databases and corresponding with all authors and researchers active in economic evaluation of vaccines. All works were assessed but we included in our review only those which were original economic analyses (90 studies). Principal epidemiological and economic variables were extracted and compared where possible. Rough manipulations were carried out to make the data comparable. We found profound variability on the main parameters of the efficiency equation (disease incidence, costing methods, use of marginal theory, discounting and study time-span, sensitivity analysis and reporting methods). We also found inconsistencies in definition and study design in 38% of a subset of studies. Although we found scarce decision-making impact, we believe that due to uncertain or unclear methodology, few studies reach valid conclusions. In future decisions may be based on biased evidence and scarce resources committed to untested programmes. There is an urgent need to standardise study methods and define a common set of procedures.

摘要

我们报告了一项研究结果,该研究旨在评估用于引入乙型肝炎疫苗接种的经济模型所基于的假设的变异性、得出的结论,并确定未来疫苗经济研究应基于的一套最低限度的方法学标准。我们通过医学文献数据库检索、查阅私人数据库以及与所有从事疫苗经济评估的作者和研究人员通信,确定了116篇已发表和未发表的作品。对所有作品都进行了评估,但我们的综述仅纳入了那些原创性经济分析(90项研究)。提取了主要的流行病学和经济变量,并在可能的情况下进行了比较。进行了粗略处理以使数据具有可比性。我们发现效率方程的主要参数(疾病发病率、成本计算方法、边际理论的使用、贴现和研究时间跨度、敏感性分析和报告方法)存在很大差异。我们还发现在一部分研究(38%)中,定义和研究设计存在不一致之处。尽管我们发现决策影响很少,但我们认为,由于方法不确定或不明确,很少有研究得出有效的结论。在未来,决策可能基于有偏差的证据,并且很少有资源投入到未经测试的项目中。迫切需要规范研究方法并确定一套通用的程序。

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