Dunner D L, Fleiss J L, Fieve R R
Br J Psychiatry. 1976 Jul;129:40-4. doi: 10.1192/bjp.129.1.40.
Data from non-rapid-cycling bipolar (manic-depressive) patients who were receiving long-term treatment with lithium carbonate were analysed by the life table method to determine when lithium carbonate prophylaxis failures occurred. Forty-four of 96 patients failed to keep well in spite of maintenance lithium therapy. The analysis revealed an early, rapid failure rate during the first six months of treatment, which was followed by a slower rate of failure. Several clinical factors were assessed to determine if any of them predicted which patient would experience their initial failure in the early or late interval, but none of these factors, which included age, sex, age of onset, rate of affective attacks, family history, and the nature of the preceding episode, were found to have any predictive value regarding lithium prophylaxis failure. We found, however, that patients who had early failures tended to have a subsequent early failure in spite of continued maintenance with lithium carbonate.
采用寿命表法对接受碳酸锂长期治疗的非快速循环型双相(躁狂抑郁)患者的数据进行分析,以确定碳酸锂预防失败发生的时间。96例患者中,44例尽管接受了维持性锂治疗,但病情仍未得到良好控制。分析显示,治疗的前六个月出现早期快速失败率,随后失败率下降。评估了几个临床因素,以确定它们是否能预测哪些患者会在早期或晚期出现首次失败,但这些因素包括年龄、性别、发病年龄、情感发作频率、家族史以及前次发作的性质,均未发现对锂预防失败有任何预测价值。然而,我们发现,早期出现失败的患者,尽管继续接受碳酸锂维持治疗,随后仍倾向于早期再次失败。