[Predictive factors of nodular recurrence after thyroidectomy for goiter].

We report a retrospective series of 44 recurrences of nodular goitre following 430 partial thyroidectomies over a 10 years period. There were 40 women and 4 men with a mean age of 43 and 37 years respectively. Twenty-four recurrences were from our institution (6%) and 20 were referred to us. The median follow-up of primary thyroidectomies was 8.5 years for patients with recurrence and 4 years for patients free of recurrence (p < 10(-6)). The incidence of recurrence was analysed in a statistical and actuarial model considering clinical intra-operative and post-operative variables. The following risk-factors for recurrence were found: age < 50 years (p < 0.01), family history of goitre (p < 0.04), unilateral multinodularity (p < 0.0002), diffuse and bilateral distribution of nodules (p < 0.02), atypical resections with conservation of isthmus (p < 0.0001), scintigraphically "warm" nodules (p < 0.001). Interestingly, sex, heterogeneous thyroid parenchyma without macroscopic nodules and the use of post-operative levothyroxine did not modify the risk of recurrence. Thirty-three patients were non symptomatic. Thirty-four patients underwent re-operation. Three primary non suspected carcinomas were found. There was no mortality related to re-operation. There were not definitive vocal cord paralysis or hypocalcemia. There was no significant difference in vocal or parathyroid morbidity when total thyroidectomy for primitive goitre was compared to total thyroidectomy as re-operation. Long-term and periodic follow-up is necessary to detect non-symptomatic recurrences in a high-risk population. Total thyroidectomy is the treatment of choice for bilateral multinodular goitre.(ABSTRACT TRUNCATED AT 250 WORDS)