Malmivaara A, Heliövaara M, Knekt P, Reunanen A, Aromaa A
Department of Occupational Medicine, Institute of Occupational Health, Helsinki, Finland.
Am J Epidemiol. 1993 Sep 15;138(6):384-94. doi: 10.1093/oxfordjournals.aje.a116871.
Falls are the most common cause of nonfatal injuries and a major cause of injury death. In order to identify risk factors for injuries from falls, 19,518 persons aged 20-92 years from four regions of Finland were examined and followed up from between 1973 and 1977 to 1984 for 8 to 11 years by identifying hospital admissions or deaths due to fall injuries. During 187,405 person-years, 628 injuries from falls were documented. The risk for injuries from falls was significantly and independently of other factors associated with alcohol intake in all age and sex groups. After adjustment for all the other risk determinants, the relative risks (RR) (95% confidence intervals (CI)) in persons with monthly ethanol intake of 100-499 g, 500-999 g, and > or = 1,000 g were 1.43 (1.13-1.82), 2.32 (1.71-3.17), and 3.05 (2.05-4.55), respectively, compared with abstainers. Body mass index (kg/m2) > or = 30 was associated with an increased risk among women aged < 45 years (RR = 2.8, 95% CI 1.28-5.89), whereas in persons aged > or = 65 years it seemed to be a protective factor both among men (RR = 0.3, 95% CI 0.06-1.19) and women (RR = 0.5, 95% CI 0.30-0.76). Also single marital status, smoking, heavy physical activity during leisure time, use of psychopharmacologic agents, diabetes mellitus, and cardiovascular diseases other than stroke were found to carry independent predictive significance in at least one subgroup of sex and age. In conclusion, alcohol consumption, relative weight, and use of psychopharmacologic agents were seen to be the most relevant risk determinants. Intervention trials based on the predictive factors and on high-risk groups are needed.
跌倒是非致命伤害的最常见原因,也是伤害死亡的主要原因。为了确定跌倒致伤的风险因素,对来自芬兰四个地区的19518名年龄在20至92岁之间的人进行了检查,并在1973年至1977年至1984年期间进行了8至11年的随访,通过确定因跌倒受伤导致的住院或死亡情况来进行跟踪。在187405人年期间,记录了628例跌倒致伤事件。在所有年龄和性别组中,跌倒致伤的风险与酒精摄入量显著相关且独立于其他因素。在对所有其他风险决定因素进行调整后,每月乙醇摄入量为100 - 499克、500 - 999克和≥1000克的人群与戒酒者相比,相对风险(RR)(95%置信区间(CI))分别为1.43(1.13 - 1.82)、2.32(1.71 - 3.17)和3.05(2.05 - 4.55)。体重指数(kg/m2)≥30与45岁以下女性的风险增加相关(RR = 2.8,95% CI 1.28 - 5.89),而在65岁及以上人群中,它似乎对男性(RR = 0.3,95% CI 0.06 - 1.19)和女性(RR = 0.5,95% CI 0.30 - 0.76)都是一个保护因素。此外,单身婚姻状况、吸烟、休闲时间的剧烈体育活动、使用精神药物、糖尿病以及除中风外的心血管疾病在至少一个性别和年龄亚组中也具有独立的预测意义。总之,饮酒、相对体重和使用精神药物被视为最相关的风险决定因素。需要基于这些预测因素和高危人群进行干预试验。