Hogenhuis W, Stevens S K, Wang P, Wong J B, Manolis A S, Estes N A, Pauker S G
Division of Clinical Decision Making, New England Medical Center, Boston, MA 02111.
Circulation. 1993 Nov;88(5 Pt 2):II437-46.
Patients with Wolff-Parkinson-White syndrome fall into four risk groups: those with (1) prior cardiac arrest, (2) paroxysmal supraventricular tachycardia or atrial fibrillation (PSVT/AF) with hemodynamic compromise, (3) PSVT/AF without hemodynamic compromise, and (4) no symptoms.
For each group, we developed a cost-effectiveness analysis examining five clinical management strategies: (1) observation, (2) observation until a cardiac arrest dictates the need for therapy, (3) initial drug therapy guided by noninvasive monitoring, (4) initial radiofrequency ablation (RFA), and (5) initial surgical ablation. We used a Markov simulation model to estimate life expectancy and costs for patients whose ages are between 20 and 60 years. The model includes the risks of cardiac arrest, PSVT/AF, drug side effects, procedure-related complications and mortality, the efficacy of drugs and RFA, and costs. Based on literature and expert opinion, we assumed that the annual risks of cardiac arrest are 0.01%, 0.05%, and 0.5%, respectively, in patients who are asymptomatic, who had PSVT/AF without hemodynamic compromise, or who had PSVT/AF with hemodynamic compromise. We also assumed that RFA has an overall efficacy of 92% in preventing cardiac arrest and arrhythmias. Our model predicts that RFA should yield a life expectancy greater than or equal to other strategies. In cardiac arrest survivors and patients who have had PSVT/AF with hemodynamic compromise, our model suggests that RFA should both prolong survival and save resources. For patients with PSVT/AF without hemodynamic compromise, the marginal cost-effectiveness of attempted RFA (followed by conservative treatment if the RFA fails) ranges from $6600 per quality-adjusted life year (QALY) gained for 20-year-old patients to $19,000 per QALY gained for 60-year-old patients. For asymptomatic patients, RFA costs from $174,000 per QALY gained for 20-year-old patients to $540,000 per QALY gained for 60-year-old patients.
Our analysis supports the emerging practice of performing RFA in patients with Wolff-Parkinson-White syndrome who survive cardiac arrest or who experience PSVT/AF but also supports the current practice of observing asymptomatic patients.
预激综合征患者分为四个风险组:(1)既往有心脏骤停史者;(2)阵发性室上性心动过速或心房颤动(PSVT/AF)伴血流动力学不稳定者;(3)PSVT/AF但血流动力学稳定者;(4)无症状者。
对于每组患者,我们开展了一项成本效益分析,评估了五种临床管理策略:(1)观察;(2)观察直至心脏骤停决定需要治疗;(3)在无创监测指导下进行初始药物治疗;(4)初始射频消融(RFA);(5)初始手术消融。我们使用马尔可夫模拟模型来估计年龄在20至60岁之间患者的预期寿命和成本。该模型包括心脏骤停、PSVT/AF、药物副作用、手术相关并发症及死亡率的风险,药物及RFA的疗效以及成本。基于文献和专家意见,我们假定无症状患者、PSVT/AF但血流动力学稳定患者、PSVT/AF伴血流动力学不稳定患者的心脏骤停年风险分别为0.01%、0.05%和0.5%。我们还假定RFA预防心脏骤停和心律失常的总体有效率为92%。我们的模型预测RFA的预期寿命应大于或等于其他策略。在心脏骤停幸存者及PSVT/AF伴血流动力学不稳定的患者中,我们的模型表明RFA既能延长生存期又能节省资源。对于PSVT/AF但血流动力学稳定的患者,尝试RFA(若RFA失败则采用保守治疗)的边际成本效益为每获得一个质量调整生命年(QALY),20岁患者为6600美元,60岁患者为19000美元。对于无症状患者,RFA每获得一个QALY的成本,20岁患者为174000美元,60岁患者为540000美元。
我们的分析支持对心脏骤停幸存者或经历PSVT/AF的预激综合征患者进行RFA这一新兴做法,但也支持对无症状患者进行观察的现行做法。