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失业率作为精神科住院率的预测指标。

Unemployment rate as predictor of rate of psychiatric admission.

作者信息

Kammerling R M, O'Connor S

机构信息

Department of Public Health Medicine, Bristol and District Health Authority.

出版信息

BMJ. 1993 Dec 11;307(6918):1536-9. doi: 10.1136/bmj.307.6918.1536.

Abstract

OBJECTIVE

To examine the relation between rates of psychiatric admissions and both the rate of unemployment and the underprivileged area score within small areas.

DESIGN

Calculation of correlation coefficients and explanatory power by using data on psychiatric admissions from April 1990 to March 1992. Crude and age standardised rates were used based on all admissions and also on the number of people admitted regardless of the number of times each person was admitted.

SETTING

Sectors with an average population of 45,000 consisting of aggregations of neighbouring wards in Bristol and District Health Authority and electoral wards with an average population of 9400 in the city of Bristol.

RESULTS

Unemployment rates explained 93% of the variation in the crude person based admission rates standardised for age for those aged under 65 in the sectors. Person based rates correlated more strongly with unemployment than did rates based on all separate admissions. Inclusion of people aged 65 and over weakened the relation. Within electoral wards unemployment rates explained only about 50-60% of the variation but were still more powerful than the underprivileged area score. There was a significant negative correlation between average length of stay and readmission rates--that is, sectors with short lengths of stay were more likely to have patients readmitted (r = -0.64, 95% confidence interval -0.25 to -0.85).

CONCLUSIONS

Unemployment rates are an extremely powerful indicator of the rates of serious mental illness that will need treatment in hospital in those aged under 65. This should be considered in the process of resource allocation, particularly to fundholders in general practice, or people with serious mental illness living in areas of high unemployment could be considerably disadvantaged.

摘要

目的

研究小区域内精神病住院率与失业率以及贫困地区得分之间的关系。

设计

利用1990年4月至1992年3月期间的精神病住院数据计算相关系数和解释力。基于所有住院病例以及不论每人住院次数的住院人数,使用了粗率和年龄标准化率。

地点

布里斯托尔及地区卫生局相邻病房聚集而成的平均人口为45000人的区域,以及布里斯托尔市平均人口为9400人的选举选区。

结果

失业率解释了这些区域内65岁以下人群基于年龄标准化的粗人均住院率变化的93%。基于个人的住院率与失业率的相关性比基于所有单独住院病例的住院率更强。纳入65岁及以上人群削弱了这种关系。在选举选区内,失业率仅解释了约50%-60%的变化,但仍比贫困地区得分更具影响力。平均住院时间与再入院率之间存在显著的负相关——即住院时间短的区域患者更有可能再次入院(r = -0.64,95%置信区间-0.25至-0.85)。

结论

失业率是65岁以下人群中需要住院治疗的严重精神疾病发病率的一个极其有力的指标。在资源分配过程中应考虑到这一点,特别是对于全科医疗的基金持有者,否则生活在高失业率地区的严重精神疾病患者可能会处于相当不利的地位。

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