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乌克兰切尔诺贝利事故导致的甲状腺剂量——第一部分:基辅人口的剂量估计

Thyroid doses resulting from the Ukraine Chernobyl accident--Part I: Dose estimates for the population of Kiev.

作者信息

Likhtarev I A, Gulko G M, Kairo I A, Henrichs K, Paretzke H G

机构信息

Ukrainian Scientific Center of Radiation Medicine, Kiev.

出版信息

Health Phys. 1994 Feb;66(2):137-46. doi: 10.1097/00004032-199402000-00002.

Abstract

In the context of the radiation exposure of the Ukrainian population resulting from the Chernobyl accident, the quantification of the thyroid doses due to iodine incorporation is of special interest. This first part of a series of planned publications deals with the dose and risk estimation for Kiev citizens. Although these doses are expected to be considerably lower than those for some other regions of Ukraine, the investigations started with this population because the quantification of the thyroid doses due to iodine incorporation is of special interest. This first part of a series of planned publications deals with the dose and risk estimation for Kiev citizens. Although these doses are expected to be considerably lower than those for some other regions of Ukraine, the investigations started with this population because of the availability of rather reliable measurements and because of the size of this population. The methods developed allowed the estimation of individual thyroid doses. The average values of individual thyroid doses for five age groups (birth years 1983-1986, 1979-1982, 1975-1978, 1971-1974, and < 1971) are 104, 62, 19, 18, and 41 mGy, respectively. The collective thyroid doses were estimated as 83 x 10(3) person-Gy for those born before 1971 and as 38 x 10(3) person-Gy for younger inhabitants. The numbers of expected thyroid cancers in the whole Kiev population are 66 and 130, respectively.

摘要

在切尔诺贝利事故导致乌克兰民众受到辐射照射的背景下,因碘摄入所致甲状腺剂量的量化备受关注。这一系列计划出版内容的第一部分涉及基辅市民的剂量与风险估计。尽管预计这些剂量会远低于乌克兰其他一些地区的剂量,但对这一人群的调查首先展开,原因在于因碘摄入所致甲状腺剂量的量化备受关注。这一系列计划出版内容的第一部分涉及基辅市民的剂量与风险估计。尽管预计这些剂量会远低于乌克兰其他一些地区的剂量,但对这一人群的调查首先展开,是因为有较为可靠的测量数据,也因为这一人群的规模。所开发的方法能够估计个体甲状腺剂量。五个年龄组(出生年份分别为1983 - 1986年、1979 - 1982年、1975 - 1978年、1971 - 1974年以及<1971年)的个体甲状腺剂量平均值分别为104、62、19、18和41毫戈瑞。1971年以前出生者的集体甲状腺剂量估计为83×10³人 - 戈瑞,较年轻居民的集体甲状腺剂量估计为38×10³人 - 戈瑞。基辅全体居民中预期的甲状腺癌病例数分别为66例和130例。

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