Fillmore K M, Golding J M, Leino E V, Ager C R, Ferrer H P
Institute for Health and Aging, Department of Social and Behavioral Sciences, University of California, San Francisco.
Am J Public Health. 1994 Feb;84(2):247-53. doi: 10.2105/ajph.84.2.247.
Period effects of per capita consumption of alcohol and divorce rates are assessed for change in quantity and frequency among age/sex groups in multiple longitudinal studies.
Twenty-five studies of quantity and 29 studies of frequency are used. Studies are from 15 nations and cover periods of 1 to 21 years. Models predict the standardized mean difference for quantity and frequency based on period effects and group-level and methodological variables.
When both the period effects of per capita consumption and the divorce rate are considered, the divorce rate significantly predicts change in quantity and frequency. An increase in the divorce rate is associated with a stronger decrease in frequency among younger people; men are more likely than women to decrease their frequency of drinking when divorce rates rise.
Multiple societal-level factors should be considered critical in influencing the drinking patterns of groups. These results suggest that an increase in the divorce rate is associated with more "dry" social contexts, characterized possibly by drinking patterns of a more "volitive" nature (i.e., heavier quantity per occasion and less frequent drinking).
在多项纵向研究中，评估人均酒精消费量和离婚率的时期效应在不同年龄/性别组中的数量和频率变化。
使用了25项关于饮酒量的研究和29项关于饮酒频率的研究。这些研究来自15个国家，涵盖1至21年的时间段。模型基于时期效应、组水平和方法学变量预测饮酒量和饮酒频率的标准化平均差异。
当同时考虑人均消费量的时期效应和离婚率时，离婚率显著预测饮酒量和饮酒频率的变化。离婚率的上升与年轻人饮酒频率的更强下降相关；离婚率上升时，男性比女性更有可能减少饮酒频率。
多个社会层面的因素在影响群体饮酒模式方面应被视为关键因素。这些结果表明，离婚率的上升与更多“禁酒”的社会环境相关，其特点可能是饮酒模式更具“随意性”（即每次饮酒量更大且饮酒频率更低）。
