Farkas G
Demography. 1977 Feb;14(1):33-42.
The net effects of birth cohort, age, and period upon the employment of white women, 1957-1968, are estimated by a regression analysis of data from the Social Security Administration's continuous work history file. By conceptualizing period-specific effects as those associated with the business cycle, we avoid multicollinearity and succeed in performing an analysis faithful to the cohort concerns usual in fertility analysis and to the macro-economic concerns usual in employment studies. The age pattern of employment and the pattern of intercohort employment change are examined in some detail. The long-run (cohort) trend of increasing white female employment is compared with the estimated (short-run) effects attributable to the business cycle, and it is found that, while both are significant, the former exerted a stronger effect in the 1957-1968 period.
通过对社会保障管理局连续工作经历档案中的数据进行回归分析，估算了1957年至1968年出生队列、年龄和时期对白人女性就业的净影响。通过将特定时期的影响概念化为与商业周期相关的影响，我们避免了多重共线性，并成功地进行了一项分析，该分析既忠实于生育分析中常见的队列问题，又忠实于就业研究中常见的宏观经济问题。我们还详细研究了就业的年龄模式和队列间就业变化模式。将白人女性就业增加的长期（队列）趋势与归因于商业周期的估计（短期）影响进行了比较，结果发现，虽然两者都很显著，但在1957年至1968年期间，前者的影响更强。
