van Poppel F, de Beer J
Netherlands Interdisciplinary Demographic Institute (NIDI), The Hague.
Demography. 1993 Aug;30(3):425-41.
This article discusses different procedures for measuring the effects of judicial changes on divorce rates. It presents an alternative model and applies it to a historical time series for the Netherlands. In this model, intervention variables were added to a statistical time-series (ARIMA) model. The conclusion of our analysis was that the effects of three judicial changes were only temporary.
本文讨论了衡量司法变革对离婚率影响的不同程序。它提出了一种替代模型,并将其应用于荷兰的一个历史时间序列。在这个模型中,干预变量被添加到一个统计时间序列(ARIMA)模型中。我们的分析结论是,三项司法变革的影响只是暂时的。