Gutmann M P, Fliess K H
Department of History and Population Research Center, University of Texas at Austin 78712-1163.
Demography. 1993 Aug;30(3):443-57.
This study examines the determinants of fertility control in a frontier population made up largely of German-Americans during the years from 1850 to 1910. The analysis employs a complex register of population constructed from census enumerations, civil and ecclesiastical vital registration, and tax assessment rolls. The article begins with a series of bivariate analyses with cohort of mother's birth, religion, ethnicity, and husband's occupation determining marital fertility. The second half of the paper presents a multivariate model of the determinants of fertility using these and other demographic characteristics as independent variables. The conclusions emphasize the importance of the overall trend toward fertility decline in the United States, as well as the role of religion and of occupational differences, in determining changes in fertility behavior in the population of Gillespie County, Texas.
本研究考察了1850年至1910年间一个主要由德裔美国人组成的边疆人口中生育控制的决定因素。该分析采用了一个复杂的人口登记册,它由人口普查枚举、民事和教会生命登记以及税收评估记录构建而成。文章首先进行了一系列双变量分析,以母亲的出生队列、宗教、种族和丈夫的职业来确定婚内生育率。论文的后半部分使用这些以及其他人口特征作为自变量,提出了一个生育决定因素的多变量模型。结论强调了美国生育率下降的总体趋势的重要性,以及宗教和职业差异在决定德克萨斯州吉莱斯皮县人口生育行为变化方面的作用。