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关于一个模拟流行病的延迟积分方程的周期解

On periodic solutions of a delay integral equation modelling epidemics.

作者信息

Smith H L

出版信息

J Math Biol. 1977 Feb 28;4(1):69-80. doi: 10.1007/BF00276353.

Abstract

A delay-integral equation, proposed by Cooke and Kaplan in [1] as a model of epidemics, is studied. The focus of this work is on the qualitative behavor of solutions as a certain parameter is allowed to vary. It is shown that if a certain threshold is not exceeded then solutions tend to zero exponentially while if this threshold is exceeded, periodic solutions exist. Many features or the numerical studies in [1] are explained.

摘要

研究了库克和卡普兰在[1]中提出的一个延迟积分方程,它作为一种流行病模型。这项工作的重点是当某个参数变化时解的定性行为。结果表明,如果不超过某个阈值,那么解将指数趋近于零;而如果超过这个阈值,则存在周期解。对[1]中的许多数值研究特征进行了解释。

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