Lundy M S, Pfohl B M, Kuperman S
W.S. Hall Psychiatric Institute, Columbia, SC 29202-0202.
J Am Acad Child Adolesc Psychiatry. 1993 May;32(3):568-76. doi: 10.1097/00004583-199305000-00012.
Among 170 preadolescent children (138 males, 32 females) admitted to the University of Iowa Psychiatric Hospital between 1970 and 1983, 23 males (17%), had adult prison records at follow-up in 1990. Assaultive behavior in childhood predicted adult imprisonment (odds ratio = 4.96, 95% confidence interval 1.8-13.8, p = 0.002), as did criminality in a biological parent (odds ratio = 4.0, 95% confidence interval 1.3-12.4, p = 0.015). Diagnosis, including conduct disorder, was not correlated with outcome. Among these young children, male gender, violence, and parental criminality identified persons at high risk for adult imprisonment. Psychiatric hospitalization in childhood is a risk for adult disturbance, including sociopathy.
在1970年至1983年间被爱荷华大学精神病医院收治的170名青春期前儿童（138名男性，32名女性）中，23名男性（17%）在1990年的随访中有成年后入狱记录。童年时期的攻击性行为预示着成年后会入狱（优势比=4.96，95%置信区间1.8 - 13.8，p = 0.002），亲生父母有犯罪行为也是如此（优势比=4.0，95%置信区间1.3 - 12.4，p = 0.015）。包括品行障碍在内的诊断与结果无关。在这些幼儿中，男性性别、暴力行为和父母的犯罪行为表明这些人成年后入狱的风险很高。童年时期的精神病住院治疗是成年后出现包括反社会人格障碍在内的精神障碍的一个风险因素。
