Short recurrence-free survival associated with high oestrogen receptor levels in the natural history of postmenopausal, primary breast cancer.

The ability of oestrogen and progesterone receptor (ER and PgR, respectively) status to discriminate recurrence-free survival (RFS) among a cohort of consecutively accrued 952 postmenopausal patients has been studied. None of the cohort members investigated were treated with adjuvant therapy. Using a graduated scale of receptor status [low, intermediate and high receptor levels (< 10 vs. 10-107 vs. > or = 108 fmol/mg cytosol protein, respectively)] instead of the more commonly used dichotomous subdivision (positive vs. negative), ER level significantly discriminated between groups of patients with long vs. short RFS. Contrary to our expectations, patients with highest ER levels have as poor a prognosis as ER-negative patients, while patients with intermediate ER levels have longest RFS. The group of patients with ER levels > or = 108 fmol/mg cytosol protein comprises 47% of the cohort. The independent significance of overexpression of ER as a prognostic factor among this patient group is demonstrated in multivariate analysis where ER level is more significant than either grade of anaplasia or tumour size. PgR status did not significantly predict RFS among these patients. While the highest ER levels predispose for poorer prognosis among postmenopausal patients, it is precisely this group that experiences greatest benefit from adjuvant treatment with tamoxifen. Thus, patients who might otherwise go untreated due to their node-negative status can be readily identified and offered adjuvant treatment.