The present state of trend detection and prediction in patient monitoring.

An investigation has been carried out into the suitability of the following techniques for trend detection and forecasting in patient monitoring: Cusum; Trigg's Tracking Signal; The Patient Condition Factor; The Patient Alarm Warning System; Box-Jenkins models and the Harrison-Stevens Bayesian approach. The latter holds considerable promise since it is flexible and can be implemented on a microprocessor. Consideration has also been given to the need for a better knowledge of the statistical properties of the variables to be monitored and the problems of combining trends detected in severable variables.