美国女性生育力受损情况预测：1995年至2020年

Projections of impaired fecundity among women in the United States: 1995 to 2020.

作者信息

Stephen E H

机构信息

Department of Demography, Georgetown University, Washington, D.C., USA.

出版信息

Fertil Steril. 1996 Aug;66(2):205-9. doi: 10.1016/s0015-0282(16)58439-8.

DOI:10.1016/s0015-0282(16)58439-8

PMID:8690102

Abstract

OBJECTIVE

To determine the number of women aged 15 to 44 years with impaired fecundity every 5 years from 1995 to 2020.

DESIGN

Data are used from cycle IV of the National Survey of Family Growth conducted by the National Center for Health Statistics. Population projections prepared by the U.S. Census Bureau are used for the expected population base for 1995 to 2020. Prospective demographic projection analysis is used to estimate the number of women with impaired fecundity.

PARTICIPANTS

The National Survey of Family Growth interviewed 8,450 women aged 15 to 44 years as of March 15, 1988.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE

Number of women with impaired fecundity.

RESULTS

The number of women with impaired fecundity may drop from 5.1 million in 1995 to 4.7 million in 2015 and then rise to 4.8 to 5.9 million in 2020.

CONCLUSION

The age structure of the population will cause the absolute number of women with impaired fecundity in the United States to increase slowly, if at all, over the next 25 years.

摘要