Stephen E H, Chandra A
Department of Demography, Georgetown University, Washington, DC 20057-1214, USA.
Fertil Steril. 1998 Jul;70(1):30-4. doi: 10.1016/s0015-0282(98)00103-4.
To project the number of infertile women aged 15-44 every 5 years from 2000 to 2025.
Data are used from Cycle 5 of the National Survey of Family Growth conducted by the National Center for Health Statistics. Population projections prepared by the U.S. Bureau of the Census are used as the base population for 2000-2025. Prospective demographic projections are used to estimate the number of infertile women.
The National Survey of Family Growth (Cycle 5) interviewed 10,847 women aged 15-44 in 1995.
MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE(S): Number of infertile women.
RESULT(S): The number of women experiencing infertility will range from 5.4-7.7 million in 2025, with the most likely number to be just under 6.5 million.
CONCLUSION(S): This is a substantial revision (upward) in the number of infertile women, largely a result of the increase in the observed percentage of infertile women in 1995. This is the base population of concern to providers; of particular interest is the percentage of infertile women who seek medical treatment.
预测2000年至2025年每5年15 - 44岁不孕女性的数量。
使用美国国家卫生统计中心进行的全国家庭成长调查第5轮的数据。美国人口普查局编制的人口预测用作2000 - 2025年的基础人口。前瞻性人口预测用于估计不孕女性的数量。
全国家庭成长调查(第5轮)在1995年对10,847名15 - 44岁的女性进行了访谈。
不孕女性的数量。
到2025年,经历不孕的女性数量将在540万至770万之间,最可能的数量略低于650万。
这是不孕女性数量的大幅(向上)修订,主要是由于1995年观察到的不孕女性百分比增加所致。这是医疗服务提供者关注的基础人群;特别令人感兴趣的是寻求医疗治疗的不孕女性的百分比。