A computerized connectivity approach for analyzing the structural basis of mutagenicity in Salmonella and its relationship with rodent carcinogenicity.

We have applied a new software program, based on graph theory and developed by our group, to predict mutagenicity in Salmonella. The software analyzes, as information in input, the structural formula and the biological activities of a relatively large database of chemicals to generate any possible molecular fragment with size ranging from two to ten nonhydrogen atoms, and detects (as predictors of biological activity) those fragments statistically associated with the biological property investigated. Our previous work used the program to predict carcinogenicity in small rodents. In the current work we applied a modified version of the program, which bases its predictions solely on the most important fragment present in a given molecule, considering as practically negligible the effects of additional less important fragments. For Salmonella mutagenicity we used a database of 551 compounds, and the program achieved a level of predictivity (73.9%) comparable to that obtained by other authors using the Computer Automated Structure Evaluation (CASE) program. We evaluated the relative contributions of biophores and biophobes to overall predictivity: biophores tended to be more important than biophobes, and chemicals containing both biophores and biophobes were more difficult to predict. Many of the molecular fragments identified by the program as being strongly associated with mutagenic activity were similar to the structural alerts identified by the human experts Ashby and Tennant. Our results tend to confirm that structural alerts useful to predict Salmonella mutagenicity are generally not very strong predictors of rodent carcinogenicity. Although the predictivity level achieved for oncogenic activity improved when the program was directly trained with carcinogenicity data, carcinogenicity as a biological endpoint was still more difficult to predict than Salmonella mutagenicity.