Cech I, Smolensky M, Lane R, Halevy B, Samueloff S
Isr J Med Sci. 1977 May;13(5):451-9.
The aim of this investigation was to study, by use of the unbiased and rigorous techniques of lagged cross-covariance and spectral analyses, the associations between daily cardiac mortality and weather conditions in Beersheba, an urban center situated in a hot and dry climatic zone. The results of the analyses point to the existence of seasonal differences in mortality, with a peak in winter. Of greater interest is the statistical documentation of temporal associations between short-term increases in daily mortality and certain weather situations corresponding to the transitional periods of turbulent atmosphere with below normal air temperatures, strong gusty winds and a drop in relative humidity, i.e., conditions accompanying the intrusion of a winter cold wave. The crests in short-term mortality occurred most often within a week of the intrusion of the cold air masses. No consistent cross association was found between high summer temperatures and mortality. The results of this investigation are discussed in the light of those previously reported for Tel Aviv (a coastal city) and Jerusalem (a city situated at a high altitude).
本调查旨在运用无偏且严谨的滞后互协方差和频谱分析技术,研究位于炎热干旱气候区的城市中心贝尔谢巴每日心脏死亡率与天气状况之间的关联。分析结果表明死亡率存在季节性差异,冬季达到峰值。更有趣的是,每日死亡率短期上升与某些天气状况之间存在时间关联的统计记录,这些天气状况对应着大气不稳定的过渡时期,气温低于正常水平、有强阵风且相对湿度下降,即伴随冬季寒潮入侵的状况。短期死亡率的峰值最常出现在冷空气团入侵后的一周内。未发现夏季高温与死亡率之间存在一致的交叉关联。根据之前针对特拉维夫(沿海城市)和耶路撒冷(高海拔城市)所报告的结果,对本调查结果进行了讨论。