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Br J Gen Pract. 1996 Jul;46(408):429-31.
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本文引用的文献

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Statistical malpractice.统计失当行为
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The type and quality of randomized controlled trials (RCTs) published in UK public health journals.英国公共卫生期刊上发表的随机对照试验(RCTs)的类型和质量。
J Public Health Med. 1995 Dec;17(4):469-74.
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Lessons from John Graunt.
Lancet. 1996 Jan 6;347(8993):37-9. doi: 10.1016/s0140-6736(96)91562-7.
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"Clinical Judgment" revisited: the distraction of quantitative models.再谈“临床判断”:定量模型的干扰
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Practice guidelines and practical judgement: the role of mega-trials, meta-analysis and consensus.实践指南与实际判断:大型试验、荟萃分析及共识的作用
Br J Gen Pract. 1994 Jul;44(384):290-1.
6
Intensification of treatment and survival in all children with lymphoblastic leukaemia: results of UK Medical Research Council trial UKALL X. Medical Research Council Working Party on Childhood Leukaemia.所有儿童淋巴细胞白血病的强化治疗与生存情况:英国医学研究委员会UKALL X试验结果。英国医学研究委员会儿童白血病工作组
Lancet. 1995 Jan 21;345(8943):143-8. doi: 10.1016/s0140-6736(95)90164-7.
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Acute lymphoblastic leukaemia in adults: the case for a strategic shift in study approach.
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Preventive health care.
Lancet. 1995 Jun 24;345(8965):1611-5. doi: 10.1016/s0140-6736(95)90119-1.
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Use of warfarin in non-rheumatic atrial fibrillation: a commentary from general practice.华法林在非风湿性心房颤动中的应用:来自全科医疗的评论
Br J Gen Pract. 1995 Mar;45(392):153-8.
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Mega-trials and management of acute myocardial infarction.
Lancet. 1995 Sep 2;346(8975):611-4. doi: 10.1016/s0140-6736(95)91440-4.

大型试验基于一个方法学上的错误。

Megatrials are based on a methodological mistake.

作者信息

Charlton B G

机构信息

Department of Psychology, University of Newcastle upon Tyne.

出版信息

Br J Gen Pract. 1996 Jul;46(408):429-31.

PMID:8776917
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC1239698/
Abstract

Despite their prestige, megatrials are founded upon a methodological error. This is the assumption that randomization of very large numbers of subjects can compensate for deliberately reduced levels of experimental control, but there is no trade-off between size and rigour. Randomized trials are not a 'gold standard' because no method is intrinsically valid-there are good and bad trials. Interpretation of megatrials is always difficult and requires considerable clinical and scientific knowledge. Three fundamental parameters should be considered when evaluating the applicability of a trial to clinical practice: rigour of design; representativeness of the trial population; and homogeneity of the recruited subjects.

摘要

尽管大型试验享有盛誉,但它们基于一个方法学错误。即认为对大量受试者进行随机分组可以弥补故意降低的实验控制水平,但规模与严谨性之间不存在权衡。随机试验并非“金标准”,因为没有哪种方法本质上就是有效的——试验有好有坏。对大型试验的解读总是困难的,需要相当多的临床和科学知识。在评估一项试验对临床实践的适用性时,应考虑三个基本参数:设计的严谨性;试验人群的代表性;以及所招募受试者的同质性。