Haughton J, Haughton D
Department of Economics, Northeastern University, Boston, MA 02115, USA.
Stud Fam Plann. 1995 Nov-Dec;26(6):325-7.
This article assesses the strength of son preference in Vietnam, as reflected in fertility behavior. It formulates and estimates a proportional hazards model applied to birth intervals, and a contraceptive prevalence model, using household survey data from 2,636 ever-married women aged 15-49 with at least one living child who were interviewed for the Vietnam Living Standards Survey 1992-1993. Son preference is found to be strong by world standards, but nevertheless, it has a minor effect on fertility; in its absence, the total fertility rate would fall by roughly 10 percent from the current level of about 3.2 children per woman of reproductive age.
本文通过生育行为评估了越南重男轻女的程度。利用1992 - 1993年越南生活水平调查中对2636名年龄在15 - 49岁、至少育有一个存活子女的曾婚妇女进行访谈所获得的家庭调查数据,构建并估计了一个适用于生育间隔的比例风险模型和一个避孕普及率模型。按照世界标准,越南的重男轻女现象较为严重,但即便如此,它对生育率的影响较小;若不存在这种现象,总生育率将从目前每位育龄妇女约3.2个孩子的水平上大致下降10%。