Ramsdell J V, Simonen C A, Burk K W, Stage S A
Battelle, Pacific Northwest Laboratories, Richland, WA 99352, USA.
Health Phys. 1996 Oct;71(4):568-77. doi: 10.1097/00004032-199610000-00014.
Approximately 2.6 x 10(4) TBq (700,000 Ci) of 131I were released to the air from reactor fuel processing plants on the Hanford Site in southcentral Washington State from December 1944 through December 1949. The Hanford Environmental Dose Reconstruction Project developed a suite of codes to estimate the doses that might have resulted from these releases. The Regional Atmospheric Transport Code for Hanford Emission Tracking (RATCHET) computer code is part of this suite. The RATCHET code implements a Lagrangian-trajectory, Gaussian-puff dispersion model that uses hourly meteorological and release rate data to estimate daily time-integrated air concentrations and surface contamination for use in dose estimates. In this model, iodine is treated as a mixture of three species (inorganic gases, organic gases, and particles). Model deposition parameters are functions of the mixture and meteorological conditions. A resistance model is used to calculate dry deposition velocities. Equilibrium between concentrations in the precipitation and the air near the ground is assumed in calculating wet deposition of gases, and irreversible washout of the particles is assumed. RATCHET explicitly treats the uncertainties in model parameters and meteorological conditions. Uncertainties in 131I release rates and partitioning among the nominal species are treated by varying model input. The results of 100 model runs for December 1944 through December 1949 indicate that monthly average air concentrations and deposition have uncertainties ranging from a factor of two near the center of the time-integrated plume to more than an order of magnitude near the edge. These results indicate that approximately 10% of the 131I released to the atmosphere decayed during transit in the study area, approximately 56% was deposited within the study area, and the remaining 34% was transported out of the study area while still in the air.
1944年12月至1949年12月期间,华盛顿州中南部汉福德基地的反应堆燃料加工厂向空气中释放了约2.6×10⁴太贝克勒尔(700,000居里)的¹³¹I。汉福德环境剂量重建项目开发了一套代码,以估算这些释放可能导致的剂量。汉福德排放跟踪区域大气传输代码(RATCHET)计算机代码是该套代码的一部分。RATCHET代码实现了一个拉格朗日轨迹高斯烟团扩散模型,该模型使用每小时的气象和释放速率数据来估算每日时间积分空气浓度和表面污染,以用于剂量估算。在该模型中,碘被视为三种物质(无机气体、有机气体和颗粒)的混合物。模型沉积参数是混合物和气象条件的函数。使用阻力模型来计算干沉降速度。在计算气体的湿沉降时,假定降水和地面附近空气中的浓度达到平衡,并假定颗粒的冲刷是不可逆的。RATCHET明确处理了模型参数和气象条件中的不确定性。通过改变模型输入来处理¹³¹I释放速率和标称物质之间分配的不确定性。1944年12月至1949年12月期间100次模型运行的结果表明,月平均空气浓度和沉积的不确定性范围从时间积分羽流中心附近的两倍到边缘附近的一个数量级以上。这些结果表明,释放到大气中的¹³¹I约有10%在研究区域内传输过程中衰变,约56%沉积在研究区域内,其余34%在仍处于空气中时被传输出研究区域。