Fergusson D M, Lynskey M T, Horwood L J
Christchurch School of Medicine, Christchurch Hospital, New Zealand.
J Am Acad Child Adolesc Psychiatry. 1996 Apr;35(4):451-60. doi: 10.1097/00004583-199604000-00011.
This analysis used methods of structural equation modeling to assess the extent to which comorbidity between conduct and affective disorders could be explained by (1) common or correlated causal factors that influenced both outcomes or (2) reciprocal causation between these conditions.
Data were obtained during the course of a 16-year longitudinal study of a birth cohort of New Zealand children. The data analyzed comprised measures of conduct and affective disorders at ages 15 and 16 years and data on a series of antecedent childhood factors.
Structural equation modeling suggested that a substantial component of the comorbidity between conduct and affective disorders arose because the risk factors associated with the development of conduct disorders in teenagers overlapped and were correlated with the risk factors for adolescent affective disorders; of the shared variance between conduct disorder and affective disorders, more than two thirds was explained by common risk factors. These conclusions were replicated using diagnostically scored measures and methods of categorical data analysis. Model extensions suggested an absence of direct causal pathways between conduct and affective disorders.
A substantial amount of the correlation and comorbidity between conduct and affective disorders arises because the risk factors and life pathways that predispose adolescents to one outcome are also associated with the risk factors and life pathways that predispose adolescents to the other outcome. Nonetheless, even after control for common causal factors, there was evidence of some unexplained comorbidity between conduct and affective disorders.
本分析采用结构方程模型方法,以评估品行障碍与情感障碍之间的共病在多大程度上可由以下因素解释:(1)影响两种结果的共同或相关因果因素,或(2)这些病症之间的相互因果关系。
数据来自对一组新西兰儿童出生队列进行的为期16年的纵向研究。所分析的数据包括15岁和16岁时品行障碍与情感障碍的测量数据以及一系列童年前期因素的数据。
结构方程模型表明,品行障碍与情感障碍共病的一个重要组成部分是由于与青少年品行障碍发展相关的风险因素相互重叠,且与青少年情感障碍的风险因素相关;在品行障碍和情感障碍的共同方差中,超过三分之二可由共同风险因素解释。使用诊断评分测量和分类数据分析方法重复了这些结论。模型扩展表明品行障碍与情感障碍之间不存在直接因果路径。
品行障碍与情感障碍之间的大量相关性和共病现象是由于使青少年易患一种结果的风险因素和生活轨迹也与使青少年易患另一种结果的风险因素和生活轨迹相关。尽管如此,即使在控制了共同因果因素之后,仍有证据表明品行障碍与情感障碍之间存在一些无法解释的共病现象。