Barbour A D
Institute of Applied Mathematics, University of Zurich, Switzerland.
Am J Trop Med Hyg. 1996 Nov;55(5 Suppl):135-43. doi: 10.4269/ajtmh.1996.55.135.
The transmission of schistosomiasis can be modeled at various levels of complexity in terms of systems of mathematical equations. This paper shows how such models can be set up, and stresses the importance of incorporating the right basic assumptions from the outset. The use of models for evaluating possible control strategies is illustrated in the context of a simple prevalence model of transmission. Some limitations and uncertainties involved in modeling schistosomiasis are also indicated.
血吸虫病的传播可以用数学方程组系统在不同复杂程度的层面上进行建模。本文展示了如何建立这样的模型,并强调从一开始就纳入正确基本假设的重要性。在一个简单的传播流行率模型的背景下,说明了使用模型评估可能的控制策略的情况。还指出了血吸虫病建模中涉及的一些局限性和不确定性。