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向未成年人销售烟草的预测因素。

Predictors of tobacco sales to minors.

作者信息

Arday D R, Klevens R M, Nelson D E, Huang P, Giovino G A, Mowery P

机构信息

Office on Smoking and Health, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia 30341, USA.

出版信息

Prev Med. 1997 Jan-Feb;26(1):8-13. doi: 10.1006/pmed.1996.9984.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Our purpose was to determine which characteristics of buyers, stores, and store clerks predicted successful tobacco sales to minors.

METHODS

Seventeen minors visited randomly selected retail outlets in the Austin, Texas, area and attempted to purchase tobacco products. We used logistic regression modeling to determine independent predictors of successful purchase attempts.

RESULTS

Overall, 101 of 165 attempts (61.2%) were successful. Although legally required, only 25.3% of stores posted warning signs about underage purchase of tobacco, and stores with signs were no less likely to sell to minors than stores without signs. Successful attempts were more common from vendors in metropolitan locations and from vendors with no alcohol products. Only 8.1% of attempts succeeded when buyers were questioned (usually about age), compared with 95.6% of attempts when no questions were asked (P < 0.001). The best predictor of a successful purchase attempt was failure to question buyers (adjusted odds ratio = 1,850; P < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Warning signs had no effect on vendors' compliance with the state minors' access law, and failure to question minors about their age substantially increased the odds of a successful purchase. Laws prohibiting tobacco sales to minors should be enforced by requiring vendors to obtain proof of buyers' ages for persons who appear to be < 30 years of age.

摘要

背景

我们的目的是确定购买者、商店及店员的哪些特征能够预测向未成年人成功销售烟草的情况。

方法

17名未成年人走访了得克萨斯州奥斯汀地区随机挑选的零售商店,试图购买烟草制品。我们使用逻辑回归模型来确定成功购买尝试的独立预测因素。

结果

总体而言,165次尝试中有101次(61.2%)成功。尽管法律有要求,但只有25.3%的商店张贴了关于未成年人购买烟草的警示标志,且有标志的商店向未成年人销售的可能性并不低于没有标志的商店。在大都市地区的商家以及没有酒类产品的商家处,成功的尝试更为常见。当购买者被询问(通常是关于年龄)时,只有8.1%的尝试成功,而未被询问时这一比例为95.6%(P<0.001)。购买尝试成功的最佳预测因素是未询问购买者(调整后的优势比=1850;P<0.001)。

结论

警示标志对商家遵守该州未成年人购买禁令没有影响,不询问未成年人年龄会大幅增加购买成功的几率。禁止向未成年人销售烟草的法律应通过要求商家对看起来年龄小于30岁的购买者获取年龄证明来实施。

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