Keel P K, Mitchell J E
Department of Psychology, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis 55455, USA.
Am J Psychiatry. 1997 Mar;154(3):313-21. doi: 10.1176/ajp.154.3.313.
The authors sought to synthesize existing data on outcome for individuals diagnosed with bulimia nervosa in order to better understand long-term outcome and prognostic factors.
They reviewed 88 studies that conducted follow-up assessments with bulimic subjects at least 6 months after presentation. Findings are summarized for the areas of mortality, recovery, relapse, crossover, and prognostic variables.
The crude mortality rate due to all causes of death for subjects with bulimia nervosa in these studies was 0.3% (seven deaths among 2,194 subjects); however, ascertainment rates and follow-up periods were small and likely to produce underestimation. Five to 10 years following presentation, approximately 50% of women initially diagnosed with bulimia nervosa had fully recovered from their disorder, while nearly 20% continued to meet full criteria for bulimia nervosa. Approximately 30% of women experienced relapse into bulimic symptoms, and risk of relapse appeared to decline 4 years after presentation. Few prognostic factors have been consistently identified, but personality traits, such as impulsivity, may contribute to poorer outcome. In addition, participation in a treatment outcome study was associated with improved outcome for follow-up periods less than 5 years.
Treatment interventions may speed eventual recovery but do not appear to alter outcome more than 5 years following presentation. Long-term outcome for women diagnosed with bulimia nervosa remains unclear. However, this disorder may be chronic for at least a subset of women.
作者试图综合关于神经性贪食症患者预后的现有数据,以便更好地了解长期预后及预后因素。
他们回顾了88项研究,这些研究在患者就诊至少6个月后对贪食症患者进行了随访评估。总结了死亡率、康复情况、复发情况、病情转变及预后变量等方面的研究结果。
在这些研究中,神经性贪食症患者因各种原因导致的粗死亡率为0.3%(2194名患者中有7人死亡);然而,确定率和随访期较短,可能导致低估。就诊5至10年后,最初被诊断为神经性贪食症的女性中约50%已从疾病中完全康复,而近20%仍完全符合神经性贪食症的标准。约30%的女性出现贪食症状复发,且复发风险在就诊4年后似乎有所下降。几乎没有一直被确定的预后因素,但冲动等人格特质可能导致预后较差。此外,参与治疗结果研究与随访期少于5年时较好的预后相关。
治疗干预可能会加速最终康复,但在就诊5年后似乎不会改变预后。被诊断为神经性贪食症的女性的长期预后仍不明确。然而,这种疾病可能至少对一部分女性来说是慢性的。