Vandale S, Rascón-Pacheco R A, Kageyama M L
Centro de Investigación en Salud Poblacional, Instituto Nacional de Salud Pública (INSP), México.
Salud Publica Mex. 1997 Jan-Feb;39(1):48-52. doi: 10.1590/s0036-36341997000100008.
This article analyzes the time-trends and causes of infant, neonatal, and postneonatal mortality in Mexico during the 1980's.
Data on infant deaths came from yearly tabulations (1980 to 1990) published by the Mexican government. Time-trends of mortality rates were determined by simple linear regression models. The parallelism test was performed for evaluating similarities in trends in neonatal and postneonatal mortality rates by causes.
During the 1980's, infant mortality rates in Mexico declined from 40.4 to 31.1/1000 (beta = -0.791). Postneonatal mortality rates showed a strong decrease (beta = -0.892), while neonatal mortality rates were almost stationary (beta = 0.089). Significant rate decreases were observed for intestinal infections, Pneumonia and influenza and All other causes while Certain perinatal problems, Congenital defects and Nutritional deficiencies increased. No changes were observed in Acute respiratory infections. The neonatal proportional mortality showed an incremental trend accounting for 37.6% in 1980 and ascending to 48.8% in 1990 of the mortality in the first year of life.
This analysis indicates that the reduction in infant mortality in Mexico during the 1980's was due to declining postneonatal mortality while neonatal mortality rates remain almost unchanged.
本文分析了20世纪80年代墨西哥婴儿、新生儿和新生儿后期死亡率的时间趋势及原因。
婴儿死亡数据来自墨西哥政府公布的年度统计表(1980年至1990年)。死亡率的时间趋势通过简单线性回归模型确定。通过并行性检验评估按病因划分的新生儿和新生儿后期死亡率趋势的相似性。
在20世纪80年代,墨西哥的婴儿死亡率从40.4‰降至31.1‰(β=-0.791)。新生儿后期死亡率大幅下降(β=-0.892),而新生儿死亡率几乎保持不变(β=0.089)。肠道感染、肺炎和流感以及所有其他病因的死亡率显著下降,而某些围产期问题、先天性缺陷和营养缺乏症有所增加。急性呼吸道感染未见变化。新生儿比例死亡率呈上升趋势,占出生后第一年死亡率的比例从1980年的37.6%升至1990年的48.8%。
该分析表明,20世纪80年代墨西哥婴儿死亡率的下降归因于新生儿后期死亡率的降低,而新生儿死亡率几乎未变。