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德国建筑业男性雇员队列中酒精消费与全因死亡率之间的关联。

The association between alcohol consumption and all-cause mortality in a cohort of male employees in the German construction industry.

作者信息

Brenner H, Arndt V, Rothenbacher D, Schuberth S, Fraisse E, Fliedner T M

机构信息

Department of Epidemiology, University of Ulm, Germany.

出版信息

Int J Epidemiol. 1997 Feb;26(1):85-91. doi: 10.1093/ije/26.1.85.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Many epidemiological studies have shown a J- or U-shaped association between alcohol consumption and total mortality. It has been argued that the higher mortality among abstainers than among moderate drinkers might result from misreporting of alcohol consumption, confounding or inclusion of a high proportion of ex-drinkers or individuals with pre-existing diseases among abstainers.

METHODS

These concerns were addressed in a cohort study among 8043 construction workers aged 25-64 years who underwent occupational health examinations at six centres in South West Germany during 1986 to 1988. Abstainers were compared with alcohol users with respect to biological markers of alcohol consumption, prevalence of pre-existing diseases and other covariates. Study participants were followed for all-cause mortality until 1994.

RESULTS

There was a clear monotonic dose-response relationship of biological markers with self-reported alcohol consumption. Prevalence of pre-existing diseases was highest among heavy drinkers, while no major differences were observed between abstainers and men who consumed 1-49 g of alcohol per day. Overall, 172 men died during the follow-up period. There was a strong U-shaped relationship between alcohol consumption and total mortality. Mortality was 2.8 times higher (95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.5-5.4) among non-drinkers than among men who consumed 1-49 g of alcohol per day after control for potential confounders in multivariable analyses. Strongly increased mortality was also found among heavy drinkers. Exclusion of non-drinkers with pre-existing diseases did not change the U-shaped association.

CONCLUSIONS

We found a strong U-shaped association between alcohol consumption and all-cause mortality which is unlikely to be explained by misreporting, confounding or pre-existing disease.

摘要

背景

许多流行病学研究表明,饮酒与总死亡率之间呈J形或U形关联。有人认为,戒酒者的死亡率高于适度饮酒者,可能是由于饮酒量报告错误、混杂因素,或戒酒者中前饮酒者或已有疾病个体比例较高所致。

方法

在一项队列研究中解决了这些问题,该研究纳入了8043名年龄在25 - 64岁的建筑工人,他们于1986年至1988年期间在德国西南部的六个中心接受了职业健康检查。比较了戒酒者与饮酒者在饮酒生物标志物、已有疾病患病率和其他协变量方面的情况。对研究参与者进行全因死亡率随访至1994年。

结果

生物标志物与自我报告的饮酒量之间存在明显的单调剂量反应关系。已有疾病的患病率在重度饮酒者中最高,而戒酒者与每天饮用1 - 49克酒精的男性之间未观察到重大差异。总体而言,172名男性在随访期间死亡。饮酒与总死亡率之间存在强烈的U形关系。在多变量分析中控制潜在混杂因素后,不饮酒者的死亡率比每天饮用1 - 49克酒精的男性高2.8倍(95%置信区间[CI]:1.5 - 5.4)。重度饮酒者的死亡率也显著增加。排除已有疾病的不饮酒者并未改变U形关联。

结论

我们发现饮酒与全因死亡率之间存在强烈的U形关联,这种关联不太可能由报告错误、混杂因素或已有疾病来解释。

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